The United States faced its first recorded deaths from bird flu this year, sparking concerns about the potential for a pandemic in humans. Despite managing to contain the outbreak enough to end the emergency response, public health experts caution that the battle is not yet won.
According to Meghan Davis, a researcher at Johns Hopkins University, the avian influenza subtype H5N1, which emerged in China in 1996, remains a deadly threat. While the virus is not well-suited for human infection and has not shown person-to-person transmission, it has caused nearly half of the approximately 1000 recorded human cases worldwide since 2003. The risk of a pandemic looms if the virus evolves the ability to spread among people.
In March 2024, H5N1 was detected in dairy cows in the US for the first time, raising alarms among public health experts. This new proximity to humans and other mammals presented an opportunity for the virus to adapt and potentially transmit to humans. Subsequent outbreaks in herds and poultry farms across 19 states led to the culling of nearly 200 million birds.
The rise in human cases followed the farm outbreaks, with 71 confirmed infections by December 2025, most of which were linked to exposure to infected animals. While the majority of cases were mild, one individual with underlying health conditions succumbed to the virus in January.
Despite these challenges, the US managed to bring the outbreak under control, with the last reported case in February. However, a separate incident involving the H5N5 strain resulted in a fatality in November. The CDC continues to monitor the situation closely, noting a low risk to the public.
The decline in infections can be attributed to various factors, including the USDA’s National Milk Testing Strategy and a $1 billion strategy to combat H5N1 in poultry farms. By focusing on testing, vaccine research, and biosecurity measures, the USDA aimed to prevent further outbreaks in wildlife and domestic animals, ultimately reducing the risk to humans.
While the emergency response to bird flu has ended, vigilance remains crucial in preventing future outbreaks. Seasonal fluctuations may still pose a threat, underscoring the importance of continued surveillance and mitigation efforts. As the battle against bird flu continues, ongoing research and proactive measures will be essential in safeguarding public health. During migration season, the risk of avian influenza, specifically the H5N1 virus, spreading to poultry farms increases significantly. Migratory birds, such as ducks and geese, carry the virus with them as they travel, leading to a spike in cases in both backyard and commercial poultry flocks. In fact, between September and October, detections of H5N1 in these flocks have surged by over 130 per cent, highlighting the serious threat posed by migratory birds.
Despite the rise in cases among poultry, there have been relatively few instances of human infections. Dr. Davis, a leading expert in avian influenza, attributes this to improved security measures and possibly reduced surveillance in workers. While the decline in human cases is promising, Dr. Davis emphasizes that more needs to be done to prevent the spread of the virus.
Looking ahead, it is crucial for poultry farmers and public health officials to remain vigilant during migration season. By implementing strict biosecurity measures and increasing surveillance efforts, we can minimize the risk of avian influenza outbreaks in both poultry and humans. The ongoing monitoring and research in this field are essential to understanding and combatting the threat of bird flu.
In conclusion, while progress has been made in controlling avian influenza, the threat remains ever-present during migration season. By staying informed, taking proactive measures, and collaborating across sectors, we can work towards a future where the risk of bird flu is significantly reduced. Stay tuned for more updates on this evolving issue as we continue to prioritize the health and safety of both poultry and humans.

