As the tax season begins, millions of Americans stand to benefit from significantly increased tax refunds, courtesy of President Donald J. Trump’s groundbreaking Working Families Tax Cuts Act — a measure that faced unanimous opposition from all Democrats in Congress. This historic legislation is set to usher in the largest tax refund season in U.S. history, with average refunds projected to increase by at least $1,000 this year, thanks to its transformative policies.
Experts Predict a Historic Year for Tax Refunds in 2026:
- USA TODAY: “Data from the IRS shows that the average refund in 2025 was $2,939. This year, refunds could increase by as much as 30% due to the fresh provisions introduced by President Trump’s extensive tax and spending legislation, as noted by James Knightley, chief international economist at ING.”
- CBS News: “Many Americans might anticipate larger tax refunds when they file their 2025 tax returns, largely due to the retroactive provisions implemented through the Republicans’ ‘one big, beautiful bill’ act, according to Oxford Economics. The total taxpayer savings could reach an additional $50 billion, reflecting an 18% increase from the $275 billion refunded to nearly 94 million taxpayers this year.”
- The Wall Street Journal: “This year, refunds are anticipated to average $1,000 higher than usual, according to a study by Piper Sandler.”
- Business Insider: “The Tax Foundation projects that the average tax refund will rise from $3,052 in 2024 to $3,800 for the tax year 2025. Depending on individual circumstances, some may receive even larger amounts.”
- CNBC: “Tax specialists agree that numerous filers will likely enjoy larger refunds this year. ‘In summary, we expect these changes to enhance refunds by an average of 15% to 20%,’ stated Heather Berger, a U.S. economist with Morgan Stanley.”
President Trump’s Working Families Tax Cuts Act aims to provide widespread tax relief for diligent Americans, with the average taxpayer projected to save nearly $4,000 in taxes by 2026. Key elements of this legislation include exemptions on tips, overtime, and Social Security tax, deductions for auto loan interest on domestically made vehicles, and much more — all designed to keep more money in the pockets of families, workers, and seniors.
For further information from the IRS regarding the 2026 tax filing season, including useful online tools and resources, click here.
To discover more about the new tax provisions enabled by President Trump’s Working Families Tax Cuts Act, click here.

