The poll, which surveyed 1003 eligible voters between February 7 and 11, revealed that National dropped 2 points to 34 percent, while Labour fell 3 points to 32 percent.
On the other hand, the Green Party saw a 4-point increase to 11 percent, New Zealand First rose by 1 point to 10 percent, Act NZ climbed by 1 point to 9 percent, and Te PÄti MÄori also increased by 1 point to 2 percent.
With these numbers, the right block would secure 65 seats, while the left block would have 59 seats, indicating that the coalition parties would have ample support to govern.
This poll marks New Zealand First’s highest rating in this particular survey since August 2017.
In terms of preferred Prime Minister ratings, National leader Christopher Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins were tied in the new poll.
Luxon saw a 3-point decrease to 20 percent, Hipkins dropped by 1 point to 20 percent, Winston Peters of New Zealand First decreased by 1 point to 10 percent, Chlöe Swarbrick of the Green Party remained steady at 5 percent, David Seymour of Act decreased by 1 point to 4 percent, and National’s deputy leader Nicola Willis remained constant at 1 percent.
The poll also inquired about voters’ opinions on the coalition’s performance, with an average score of five out of ten.
National supporters gave an average score of 6.7, Act supporters rated it at 6.4, Green supporters gave a rating of 3.1, and Labour supporters provided an average rating of 3.6.
Additionally, the poll highlighted doubts among voters regarding the economic outlook, with economic optimism decreasing by 2 points to 40 percent and pessimism increasing by 1 point to 31 percent.
The survey was conducted between November 29 and December 3, 2025, with 1007 eligible voters polled via mobile phone and online methods. The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts and the results are a snapshot in time of party support, not a prediction.
