The future of Brazil’s oil production looks promising, with projections from Rystad Energy indicating that by 2030, the country could become the fifth-largest oil producer in the world, exceeding seven million barrels of oil equivalent per day. However, this growth comes with significant environmental risks, particularly in ecologically sensitive areas like the mouth of the Amazon River.
In 2024, Petrobrás achieved a production level of 2.4 million barrels of oil per day, with plans to expand oil exploration in the Amazon region. This controversial project threatens coral reefs, mangroves, and the livelihoods of Indigenous communities. The risks of oil spills and increased greenhouse gas emissions could have catastrophic global consequences.
The BR-319 highway, running through the Amazon rainforest, poses another threat to the environment and Indigenous communities. The proposed reconstruction of this highway could lead to deforestation, land invasions, and violence, accelerating climate collapse and putting the Amazon at risk of irreversible damage.
Brazil’s bioeconomy ambitions, focusing on biofuels, aim to drive economic growth and decarbonize the country. However, the expansion of biofuel crops like sugarcane, soy, and palm oil raises concerns about food security, deforestation, and ecosystem degradation. The demand for biofuels could exacerbate environmental problems and put pressure on vital ecosystems.
Livestock farming, particularly cattle ranching, is a major driver of deforestation in the Amazon. Companies like JBS have been linked to environmental degradation, deforestation, and human rights violations. The expansion of beef exports further threatens the Amazon’s ecosystem and Indigenous communities, raising questions about sustainability and corporate responsibility.
As Brazil prepares for COP30, the world will be watching to see how the country balances economic growth with environmental protection. The decisions made at this critical moment will determine Brazil’s commitment to climate action, Indigenous rights, and sustainable development. President Lula’s promises will be put to the test, as Brazil faces the challenge of leading with integrity and courage towards a sustainable future.
This article was rewritten by Monica Piccinini, a freelance writer focusing on environmental, health, and human rights issues. The content has been adapted from the original article to provide a unique perspective on Brazil’s environmental challenges and opportunities.