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American Focus > Blog > Health and Wellness > Higher cigarette taxes may improve childhood survival
Health and Wellness

Higher cigarette taxes may improve childhood survival

Last updated: April 29, 2025 3:54 pm
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Higher cigarette taxes may improve childhood survival
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A recent study led by researchers at Karolinska Institutet suggests that implementing higher taxes on cigarettes in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) could significantly reduce child mortality rates, particularly among the most vulnerable children. The study, titled “Cigarette taxation and socioeconomic inequalities in under-five mortality across 94 low- and middle-income countries,” was published in The Lancet Public Health.

The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a minimum tax of 75% on the retail price of cigarettes to discourage smoking. However, most countries fall short of this recommendation, resulting in higher rates of smoking-related illnesses and deaths among children.

Lead researcher Márta Radó emphasizes that if all 94 countries included in the study had adhered to the WHO’s tax recommendation, over 280,000 children’s lives could have been saved in just one year. Additionally, implementing higher cigarette taxes could help bridge the gap in child mortality rates between different socioeconomic groups, aligning with the UN’s sustainable development goals.

The study analyzed publicly available data from organizations such as the WHO, the World Bank, and the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) from 2008 to 2020. The researchers examined the correlation between child mortality rates and various types of cigarette taxes, including excise duties, ad valorem duties, import duties, and VAT. They found that excise duties had the most significant impact on improving childhood survival rates and reducing disparities between rich and poor populations.

Olivia Bannon, the lead author of the study, underscores the importance of implementing higher cigarette taxes as a crucial policy measure to enhance children’s health globally, particularly among the most vulnerable groups in LMICs.

See also  Eliminating Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Medicaid My Administration has been relentlessly committed to rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse in Government programs to preserve and protect them for those who rely most on them. The Medicaid program was designed to be a program to compassionately provide taxpayer dollars to healthcare providers who offer care to the most vulnerable Americans. To keep payments reasonable, billable costs for such care were historically capped at the same level that healthcare providers could receive from Medicare. The State and Federal Governments jointly shared this cost burden to ensure those of lesser means did not go untreated. Under the Biden Administration, States and healthcare providers were permitted to game the system. For example, States "taxed" healthcare providers, but sent the same money back to them in the form of a "Medicaid payment," which automatically unlocked for healthcare providers an additional "burden-sharing" payment from the Federal Government. Through this gimmick, the State could avoid contributing money toward Medicaid services, meaning the State no longer had a reason to be prudent in the amount of reimbursement provided. Instead of paying Medicare rates, many States that utilize these arrangements now pay the same healthcare providers almost three times the Medicare amount, a practice encouraged by the Biden Administration. These State Directed Payments have rapidly accelerated, quadrupling in magnitude over the last 4 years and reaching $110 billion in 2024 alone. This trajectory threatens the Federal Treasury and Medicaid's long-term stability, and the imbalance between Medicaid and Medicare patients threatens to jeopardize access to care for our seniors. I pledged to protect and improve these important Government healthcare programs for those that rely on them. Seniors on Medicare and Medicaid recipients both deserve access to quality care in a system free from the fraud, waste, and abuse, that enriches the unscrupulous and jeopardizes the programs themselves. We will take action to continue to love and cherish the Medicare and Medicaid programs to ensure they are preserved for those who need them most. The Secretary of Health and Human Services shall therefore take appropriate action to eliminate waste, fraud, and abuse in Medicaid, including by ensuring Medicaid payments rates are not higher than Medicare, to the extent permitted by applicable law. This memorandum is not intended to, and does not, create any right or benefit, substantive or procedural, enforceable at law or in equity by any party against the United States, its departments, agencies, or entities, its officers, employees, or agents, or any other person. DONALD J. TRUMP

Despite the benefits of higher cigarette taxes, the tobacco industry often employs tactics to impede or delay the implementation of effective tobacco control measures. Dr. Radó urges governments to overcome these obstacles and prioritize the health and well-being of children by enforcing higher taxes on tobacco products in LMICs.

The study was conducted in collaboration with researchers from Erasmus MC (the Netherlands), McGill University (Canada), and Imperial College London (UK). For more information, the study titled “Cigarette taxation and socioeconomic inequalities in under-five mortality across 94 low- and middle-income countries” can be accessed in The Lancet Public Health.

This groundbreaking research highlights the potential life-saving impact of increasing cigarette taxes in LMICs and emphasizes the importance of prioritizing public health initiatives to protect children from the harmful effects of smoking.

TAGGED:ChildhoodCigarettehigherimprovesurvivalTaxes
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