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Senate Majority Leader John Thune has indicated that adjustments to the SALT (State and Local Tax) provisions of the bill are necessary, yet House Republicans aligned with the SALT Caucus have warned that any alterations will lead them to withdraw their support for the final vote.
Jake Sherman of Punchbowl News shared insights via X:
Rep. JOHNSON stated he just spoke with the SALT Caucus on the House floor. The Speaker plans to communicate with Senate leadership about the issue, emphasizing its delicacy. Thune has asserted that modifications to the House SALT deal are inevitable.
Laura Weiss from Punchbowl added that House Republicans who brokered the SALT credit agreement have made it clear: if the deal faces alterations, they will not support the bill:
SALT Caucus Republicans are fuming over Thune’s remarks suggesting adjustments to the SALT deal in the Senate. (Rep.) LALOTA likened changing the $40K cap to “digging up safely buried radioactive waste—reckless, destabilizing, and bound to contaminate everything nearby.”
(Rep.) LAWLER has also stated he will vote against the bill if any changes are made to SALT.
Given that the House passed the bill by a mere one-vote margin (215-214), a single Republican shifting from a yes to a no could doom the entire legislation.
Rep. Lawler’s declaration raises the stakes significantly, suggesting that the entire bill is now hanging by a thread.
The motivation behind this potential Republican revolt seems tied to the looming deadline for extending the Trump-era tax cuts, which has given them a sense of urgency and leverage. A growing faction within both the House and Senate is advocating for the abandonment of this comprehensive bill in favor of pursuing its components as independent legislation.
The so-called Big Beautiful Bill, characterized more by its chaotic intricacies than any aesthetic grandeur, appears to be on the brink of implosion, struggling under the sheer weight of its internal contradictions. The risk of the Senate making amendments that the House won’t accept is not merely theoretical; it’s becoming a tangible reality.
What are your thoughts on the challenges facing the Big Beautiful Bill? Feel free to share in the comments below.