Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the central bank’s commitment to controlling inflation during his recent testimony to congressional committees. Powell emphasized the need to wait for more information on the impact of tariffs before making any policy adjustments.
Powell acknowledged that the economy is experiencing strong growth and the labor market is close to full employment. However, he expressed concerns about inflation exceeding the Fed’s 2% target and the uncertainty surrounding the effects of President Trump’s tariffs.
The Fed chief highlighted the importance of monitoring the evolving policy changes and their potential impact on the economy. Powell stated that the Fed is well-positioned to wait for more data before considering any changes to its policy stance.
These cautious remarks are likely to further strain Powell’s relationship with President Trump, who has been critical of the Fed chief in the past. In a recent post on his Truth Social platform, Trump expressed frustration with Powell’s approach to monetary policy.
Powell is set to present his comments and the Fed’s monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee and the Senate Banking Committee in the coming days.
In terms of inflation, Powell projected that the Fed’s preferred measure could rise to 2.3% in May, with the core measure excluding food and energy expected to reach 2.6%. He noted that tariffs historically lead to temporary price increases, and the Fed will closely monitor the situation to prevent sustained inflationary pressures.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) recently voted to maintain interest rates at their current level, but there is a divergence of views among committee members regarding future rate cuts. While some officials advocate for a reduction in July, others are more cautious and prefer to wait for more data on inflation.
Market expectations suggest a low probability of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting, with a higher likelihood of a cut in September. The FOMC will continue to assess economic data and inflation trends to make informed decisions on monetary policy moving forward.
Overall, Powell’s testimony underscores the Fed’s commitment to balancing its dual mandate of promoting full employment and controlling inflation. The central bank will remain vigilant in monitoring economic developments and adjusting its policy stance as needed to support sustainable growth.