Quantum computers are on the brink of cracking common encryption methods, posing a significant threat to data security. The RSA algorithm, widely used for online banking and secure communication, relies on the difficulty of factoring large numbers into prime numbers. However, quantum computers have the potential to bypass this difficulty, making encryption vulnerable.
Recent advancements in quantum computing have significantly reduced the amount of computing power required to break RSA encryption. Researchers, such as Craig Gidney and Paul Webster, have made strides in decreasing the number of qubits needed for this task. Gidney’s work, in particular, has led to algorithmic improvements that have paved the way for more efficient quantum computing.
Webster and his team have further optimized the process by utilizing a different qubit connectivity scheme called qLDPC code. This approach allows qubits to interact with distant neighbors, increasing the density of information within the quantum computer. With these advancements, breaking RSA encryption using 98,000 superconducting qubits could be achieved in a month, or in a day with 471,000 qubits.
While quantum computing firms aim to develop quantum computers with hundreds of thousands of qubits within the next decade, practical challenges remain. Implementing the necessary connections between distant qubits poses a significant engineering hurdle. IBM, a key player in quantum computing, has embraced qLDPC codes but the feasibility of realizing this new scheme remains uncertain.
Alternative quantum computing approaches, such as cold atoms or ions, offer easier implementation of connections between distant qubits. However, these methods operate more slowly, potentially requiring millions of qubits to break RSA encryption. Despite the challenges, researchers like Lawrence Cohen emphasize the importance of considering the possibility of quantum computers breaking RSA encryption sooner rather than later.
In addition to the security implications, the advancements in quantum computing also open up opportunities for better simulations of quantum materials and chemistry. As researchers continue to push the boundaries of quantum computing, it is essential to address the implications of these technological advancements on data security and encryption methods.

