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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Can Germany spend its way out of industrial decline?
Economy

Can Germany spend its way out of industrial decline?

Last updated: March 7, 2025 11:59 pm
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Can Germany spend its way out of industrial decline?
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Merz’s decision to pivot towards a more aggressive economic and military stance comes at a critical juncture for Germany and Europe as a whole. With geopolitical tensions rising and economic challenges mounting, the country’s traditional approach to fiscal discipline and military restraint was no longer tenable.

The move to inject hundreds of billions into defence and infrastructure represents a seismic shift in German economic policy, with far-reaching implications for the country and the wider region. By loosening the debt brake and committing to significant investments, Germany is signaling its intention to play a more assertive role on the global stage.

Historian Katja Hoyer notes that this shift marks a departure from Germany’s longstanding commitment to fiscal prudence, signaling a new era of greater self-interest and international engagement. The decision to boost defence spending and support domestic industries is seen as a necessary step to address the challenges of a rapidly changing world order.

Industry leaders like Joe Kaeser see the new economic package as a game-changer for Germany’s industrial sector, potentially reviving key industries and creating new opportunities for growth. By investing in defence and infrastructure, Germany aims to not only bolster its own economy but also support the broader Eurozone economy.

Economists predict that the stimulus package could have a significant impact on Germany’s economic growth, potentially lifting the country out of its current stagnation and setting the stage for a more dynamic future. While the move may lead to an increase in debt levels, it is seen as a necessary risk to jumpstart the economy and position Germany for success in a rapidly evolving global landscape.

Overall, Friedrich Merz’s bold decision to shift Germany’s economic and military policies represents a turning point in the country’s history. By embracing a more proactive and assertive approach, Germany is laying the groundwork for a new era of growth and engagement, both at home and abroad.

The decision by Germany to become the second largest supplier of arms to Ukraine, behind only the US, has sparked a race to re-arm that could provide a much-needed boost to German manufacturing. With the crisis in carmaking, looming trade wars, and increasing competition from cheap Chinese imports, the German manufacturing sector has been struggling. However, the move to convert domestic car-part plants to produce military equipment signals a potential shift in focus for the industry.

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Rheinmetall, a German weapons maker, has seen its stock nearly double this year as it converts some of its car plants to produce military equipment. Additionally, Franco-German tank maker KNDS has agreed to take over a train-making factory to produce parts for battle tanks and other military vehicles. Hensoldt, a state-owned maker of sensors and radars, is also in talks to hire software engineers from major automotive suppliers in Germany.

The announcement of increased defense spending has been met with enthusiasm among Deutsche Bahn staff, as it could provide funding for a long-awaited renovation plan. The decision to increase defense spending has been described as a historic and far-reaching one by SPD defense minister Boris Pistorius, emphasizing Germany’s commitment to security and NATO partners.

The shift in policy has been orchestrated by Friedrich Merz, a German politician known for his supply-side conservative views. Merz, a staunch Atlanticist, has surprised many with the decision to increase defense spending and reform the debt brake. His allies argue that the move is necessary to secure a supermajority in parliament before March 25, after which far-right and far-left parties could block additional defense spending.

Merz has managed to secure a defense pact with the SPD before a meeting of EU leaders in Brussels, despite not officially attending the gathering as Germany’s caretaker chancellor. He has emphasized the importance of spending money on defense and has been working to win over the Greens to pass the necessary bills.

However, there are concerns about the speed and feasibility of enacting such significant changes. A senior Bundeswehr commander has warned of procurement challenges and manpower deficiencies that will take time to address. Structural reforms in defense procurement and infrastructure projects will be challenging to implement while also increasing spending significantly.

Overall, the decision to increase defense spending and become a major supplier of arms to Ukraine represents a significant shift in German policy. The move could provide a much-needed boost to the manufacturing sector and signal a renewed commitment to security and defense in Germany and among its NATO partners. Policymakers face the challenging task of not only wisely allocating funds to maximize growth impact but also speeding up implementation to see results. This grand coalition, which is losing its grandeur, is determined to showcase a fresh beginning. However, there may be political obstacles to overcome, such as the Greens demanding assurances that part of the allocated funds will support the green transition.

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The sudden change in stance by Friedrich Merz, who previously opposed debt brake reform, has caused tension with the Greens, leading to tough negotiations before the old Bundestag reconvenes. Despite these challenges, analysts anticipate the Greens ultimately supporting the package.

Furthermore, the CDU/CSU and SPD will need to motivate their outgoing MPs to participate actively, as they may lack the incentive to adhere to party discipline. The pressure from external sources like Trump and internal factors such as the rise of far-right and far-left parties is expected to unite Germany’s mainstream parties.

According to Hoyer, the coalition is determined to prove that this is a fresh start, recognizing the limited time they have to enact change. Failure to do so could result in increased support for parties like the AfD and Die Linke. With only four years in office, the coalition understands the urgency to make a meaningful impact.

In conclusion, policymakers must navigate political challenges and mobilize their members to ensure the successful implementation of funds for growth. The coalition’s unity and determination to bring about change are crucial in the face of rising opposition. As Germany enters this new chapter, the focus remains on maximizing growth impact and securing a sustainable future. The world is currently experiencing a major shift in the way we live and work due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. With many countries implementing strict lockdown measures and social distancing guidelines, people are finding themselves having to adapt to a new way of life. One of the most significant changes has been the rise of remote work, with many companies now allowing their employees to work from home.

Remote work has become the new norm for many professionals, and while it may have its challenges, it also offers a range of benefits. One of the main advantages of remote work is the flexibility it provides. Employees no longer have to commute to the office, saving time and money on transportation. This also allows for a better work-life balance, as employees can better manage their time and take breaks when needed.

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Another benefit of remote work is the ability to work from anywhere. With the rise of digital nomadism, employees are no longer tied to a specific location and can work from anywhere in the world as long as they have a stable internet connection. This has opened up new opportunities for travel and exploration, allowing employees to experience different cultures and environments while still being able to work.

Remote work also has environmental benefits, as fewer people commuting to the office means less traffic congestion and pollution. This can have a positive impact on the environment, as well as reducing the carbon footprint of companies.

However, remote work also comes with its challenges. One of the main concerns is the lack of social interaction and communication that comes with working in an office. Many employees may feel isolated and disconnected from their colleagues, leading to a decline in morale and productivity. Companies are now having to find new ways to foster a sense of community and collaboration among remote teams, such as virtual team-building activities and regular video calls.

Another challenge of remote work is the blurring of boundaries between work and personal life. With no clear separation between the two, employees may find it difficult to switch off and disconnect from work, leading to burnout and increased stress levels. It is important for employees to establish clear boundaries and set aside time for relaxation and self-care to prevent this from happening.

Overall, remote work has become an integral part of the new normal, and it is likely to continue even after the pandemic is over. It offers a range of benefits for both employees and employers, but it also comes with its challenges. By finding ways to overcome these challenges and adapt to this new way of working, remote work can be a positive and sustainable solution for the future.

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