Centrist WelcomePAC charts path for Dems, with help from Axelrod, Plouffe and others

Centrist Democrats Chart a Path Forward: Emphasizing the Economy Over Ideology

In a bid to reclaim electoral ground, centrist Democrats are advocating for a strategic pivot: prioritizing economic discussions over the more abstract notion of democracy. Their plan involves rejecting corporate influences and moving away from rigid ideological purity tests. They aim to retain popular progressive policies—such as expanding healthcare access and increasing the minimum wage—while adopting a more moderate stance on contentious issues like immigration and crime.

This strategy forms the crux of a detailed report released by WelcomePAC on Monday, which champions center-left candidates and outlines a roadmap for Democrats to recover from their significant electoral losses in 2026 and 2028. The 58-page document arrives amid ongoing internal debates within the party, nearly a year after a disappointing national performance.

Notably, this report precedes a series of gubernatorial and mayoral elections that will serve as the first substantial test of voter sentiment since the 2024 elections and the return of President Donald Trump to power. The insights within the report are enriched by contributions from a cadre of prominent Democratic consultants, including David Axelrod, James Carville, and David Plouffe, along with analysts like Nate Silver and former Illinois Rep. Cheri Bustos.

Rather than serving as a postmortem analysis of the 2024 election—spending only a modest five pages on the campaigns of former President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris—the report critiques the party’s shift leftward since the Obama administration. It places blame on wealthy donors, campaign operatives, and progressive advocacy groups, asserting that such influences have led Democrats into an untenable position.

The report echoes sentiments long expressed by moderate Democrats: the party must gravitate toward the center and concentrate on issues that resonate with everyday Americans. It utilizes polling data to support the assertion that voters felt the Democratic Party prioritized issues like democracy, abortion, and identity politics over pressing concerns such as the economy, immigration, and crime. The authors argue that moderate candidates, like Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine), have outperformed their progressive counterparts by focusing on border security and economic matters.

Furthermore, the authors recommend that Democrats “distance ourselves from the Biden administration,” particularly by critiquing its approach to border security and the rising cost of living. They suggest that Harris’s electoral defeat stemmed in part from her inability to dissociate from her progressive roots while attempting a more centrist campaign.

Importantly, the report does not advocate for a complete abandonment of progressive positions. It recognizes that expanding access to public healthcare, ensuring the wealthy contribute their fair share in taxes, and raising the minimum wage remain popular among voters. WelcomePAC encourages the party to draw inspiration from figures like Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who have successfully maintained a relentless focus on affordability.

However, the report advises Democrats to steer clear of “lower-salience issues” where their views are less popular, such as the debate over transgender athletes. It contends that opposing the establishment doesn’t necessitate a shift to the left and cautions against the misconception that simply running younger candidates will magically resolve their electoral challenges.

Although WelcomePAC does not specifically address the upcoming gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia, the outcomes of these elections will serve as an early test of their proposed strategy. Both states have nominated moderate candidates with military backgrounds who emphasize affordability in their campaigns. While Democrats are favored to win these races, Rep. Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey faces a much tougher contest compared to former Rep. Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.

WelcomePAC cautions against hastily drawing conclusions from these elections as they look toward 2028, emphasizing that success in midterm and special elections does not necessarily translate to favorable outcomes in presidential races, as less-engaged voters often skip these interim contests.

Nonetheless, Democrats across the spectrum will be closely monitoring the results of the upcoming elections in these two traditionally blue states that have recently leaned toward Trump, seeking clues about what strategies resonate with voters as they prepare for the high-stakes midterm elections and the consequential presidential race ahead.