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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Chipotle tempers annual sales forecast as dining-out takes a hit
Economy

Chipotle tempers annual sales forecast as dining-out takes a hit

Last updated: April 24, 2025 11:56 pm
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Chipotle tempers annual sales forecast as dining-out takes a hit
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Faces Challenges Amid Economic Uncertainty

Chipotle Mexican Grill recently announced a tempered annual comparable sales growth forecast, citing sticky inflation and economic uncertainty as factors impacting consumer dining habits. The burrito chain’s shares fell 3% after hours following the news.

The company now expects annual comparable sales growth to be in the low single-digit range, down from a previous forecast of a low- to mid-single-digit increase. This adjustment comes as President Donald Trump’s tariffs on trade partners like Mexico, Canada, and China have sparked fears of a potential recession in the U.S. This economic uncertainty has led to higher costs of living for consumers, causing them to dine out less frequently.

Despite benefiting from menu innovation and kitchen optimization, Chipotle may face challenges due to import tariffs on key ingredients like avocados and beef. Analysts have noted that these tariffs could impact the company’s bottom line.

CEO Scott Boatwright acknowledged the impact of economic uncertainty on consumer behavior, stating, “In February, we began to see that elevated level of uncertainty felt by consumers. Consumers were saving money because of concerns around the economy, and reducing restaurant visits. These trends continued into April.”

Chipotle reported a 0.4% decline in comparable restaurant sales for the first quarter, a stark contrast to the 5.4% growth seen in the previous quarter. Total revenue for the quarter was $2.85 billion, falling short of analysts’ expectations.

The company’s restaurant-level operating margin also decreased to 26.2% in the first quarter, down from 27.5% a year ago. In January, Chipotle had predicted a 60-basis-point impact on raw material costs for the year due to Trump’s tariffs on Mexico.

See also  Sugar Prices Retreat on a Forecast for a Global Sugar Surplus

To mitigate the impact of higher input costs, Chipotle has invested in technology such as produce slicers and three-tiered rice cookers to optimize labor and time in the kitchen.

It is clear that Chipotle Mexican Grill is facing challenges in the current economic climate. As the company navigates the impact of tariffs and economic uncertainty, it will be crucial for them to continue innovating and finding ways to maintain profitability in a challenging market.

(Reporting by Juveria Tabassum in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath)

TAGGED:AnnualChipotlediningoutForecasthitSalestakestempers
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