The Democrats’ Texas Fortress: Crumbling from Within
The Democratic bastion in Texas appears to be undergoing a seismic shift, with internal strife brewing among its own lawmakers.
In the wake of Republicans rolling out new congressional maps, a move orchestrated under the watchful eye of former President Donald Trump, Democrats are grappling with the unsettling prospect of diminished safe seats and the looming threat of political irrelevance in crucial regions of the state.
Representative Lloyd Doggett, a veteran Democrat from Austin, has already signaled his intention to retire if the new maps remain intact.
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Doggett’s departure could pave the way for Greg Casar, yet it underscores a harsh reality: the Democrats simply do not have enough blue districts to go around anymore.
The most significant upheaval is occurring in Houston.
Representative Al Green, who has represented the 9th District since 2005, finds his district dramatically redrawn.
A mere 5% of his previous base remains intact, as most of it has been incorporated into the newly reconfigured District 18, once represented by Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner.
With a special election on the horizon, Green is poised to enter that contest, but he will face off against other Democrats in what is now a three-way race.
Houston has transitioned from four Democratic seats to three, ensuring that at least one Democratic seat is now vacant.
The Democrats in the Dallas-Fort Worth area are not faring any better.
Marc Veasey from Fort Worth has been pushed into Dallas, where he will contend with Julie Johnson, who already occupies a seat.
However, Johnson’s district is now heavily Republican, leaving her with the unenviable choice of either challenging Veasey or embarking on a campaign doomed to fail.
Meanwhile, Jasmine Crockett emerges relatively unscathed in her district, as Republicans like Beth Van Duyne stand ready to capitalize on the shifting landscape.
In response to these changes, Democrats have resorted to legal action.
Organizations such as the NAACP, LULAC, and the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law are alleging that the new maps discriminate against minority populations.
However, this playbook is hardly novel. Back in the 1990s, Democrats engaged in redistricting to carve out majority-Black and majority-Hispanic districts for their own electoral advantage.
So blatant were those maps that the Supreme Court ultimately struck them down in Bush v. Vera (1996), highlighting a certain irony: the Democrats created the very framework they now decry.
Republicans, on the other hand, maintain that the new maps are focused on fairness rather than racial considerations.
Senator Joan Huffman, chair of the redistricting committee, testified under oath that race played no role in the redrawing process.
Instead, she asserted, the changes were designed to rectify distortions stemming from the Biden administration’s decision to include illegal immigrants in the census count.
This inclusion resulted in inflated representation for Democrat-leaning districts, undermining the foundational principle of one person, one vote.
By dismantling Green’s district and reshaping others, Republicans have effectively reasserted power back into the hands of legal voters.
The fallout is dire for Democrats: dwindling safe seats, escalating infighting among incumbents, and a new electoral map that forces them to compete in areas where they have long enjoyed complacency.
In essence, Democrats are not the victims of systemic racism; rather, they find themselves ensnared by the harsh reality of political geography.