Donald Trump’s victory in the upcoming presidential transition has brought a sense of normalcy back to the political landscape, making Jan. 6 a relatively uneventful day. Four years after the chaotic events that unfolded when a mob of Trump supporters stormed the Capitol, both Republicans and Democrats seem poised to accept the results of the election and facilitate a smooth transfer of power.
Despite lingering concerns among Democrats about Trump’s role in inciting the violence of Jan. 6, there appears to be a consensus among top Democratic leaders to respect the outcome of the election and avoid any attempts to disrupt the transition process. Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to preside over the joint session of Congress to officially count Trump’s presidential electors, following the established procedures without taking any active role in the proceedings.
One potential point of contention leading up to the transition is the selection of the House Speaker. A recent spending debacle has raised doubts among conservatives about Mike Johnson’s leadership, prompting speculation about a potential challenge to his position. If a battle for the speakership ensues and delays the process, it could impact the certification of Trump’s victory, as Congress cannot proceed with other matters until a speaker is elected.
Prior to Jan. 6, lawmakers will need to address the question of whether the date of the joint session can be changed to accommodate any delays in the speakership selection process. While the Electoral Count Act has historically governed the procedures for counting electoral votes, some Republican lawmakers have expressed reservations about the laws that oversee the transfer of power, raising the possibility of a debate over the Act on Jan. 3.
In terms of potential objections to Trump’s victory, Democrats who had challenged previous election results as a symbolic gesture have indicated that they do not plan to mount similar efforts this time. The updated Electoral Count Act now requires a significant number of lawmakers from both chambers to trigger further proceedings in the event of objections, making it unlikely that any challenges would gain traction in 2025.
As Vice President Harris prepares to preside over the certification of Trump’s victory, security agencies are taking precautions to ensure a safe and orderly event. Despite enhanced security measures around the Capitol, there have been no indications of organized protests or challenges to the outcome of the election, suggesting that Jan. 6, 2025, will be a relatively calm and uneventful day in contrast to the events of four years ago.