The University of Michigan recently conducted a study that revealed a concerning trend in firearm-related injuries during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study found that while firearm injuries leading to hospitalization had been decreasing steadily in the five years prior to the pandemic, there was a sharp reversal in this trend over the next two years.
According to the study, there was a 34% increase in the number of people hospitalized for firearm-related injuries in 2020 and 2021 compared to what would have been predicted based on pre-pandemic trends. Notably, certain groups were disproportionately affected by this increase. Patients under the age of 18, those covered by Medicaid insurance, and Black individuals had even higher rates of firearm-related hospitalizations, with increases of 44%, 46%, and 41% respectively.
Although the study could not directly link the rise in firearm hospitalizations to the surge in firearm sales during the early months of the pandemic, there was a significant association between the two trends. The researchers used national hospitalization data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project to create a model of trends from 2015 to 2019, allowing them to predict expected firearm hospitalizations for 2020 and 2021.
The data showed that even groups that had smaller increases in firearm hospitalizations, such as those over the age of 55 and those insured by Medicare, still experienced a rise in such hospitalizations. The study also highlighted the rapid increase in firearm sales during the first months of 2020, which preceded the spike in firearm-related hospitalizations.
While the study had its limitations, such as the lack of data on individuals who died from firearm injuries before reaching a hospital, the researchers hope that these findings will prompt further research and inform policy efforts to reduce firearm-related injuries and deaths. This includes addressing issues such as suicides, interpersonal violence, and accidents related to firearms.
Dr. Raymond Jean, the lead author of the study and a trauma surgeon at Michigan Medicine, emphasized the importance of understanding the scope of firearm-related injuries and trends over time. He hopes that advanced data tools can shed light on this issue and guide efforts to mitigate the impact of firearm injuries on vulnerable populations.
For more information on the study, you can refer to the publication in JAMA Network Open. The University of Michigan provided this research, and further details can be found on their official website.