The latest data on inflation in the United States shows a slight uptick in May, with the annual inflation rate rising to 2.4%. This increase was driven by higher grocery prices, which offset the lower prices at the gas pump. Economists noted that while inflation remains relatively tame, there are concerns about the impact of President Trump’s tariff policies on consumer prices in the coming months.
The consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.1% from April to May, down from 0.2% the previous month. Economists emphasized that a consistent monthly rate of around 0.2% would be necessary to bring inflation down to the Federal Reserve’s long-term target.
Despite the positive outlook for inflation, economists warned that the tariffs imposed by President Trump could start to have a noticeable impact on consumer prices in the near future. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s, described the current period as the “calm before the inflation storm,” indicating that the impact of tariffs may soon be felt by consumers.
One area where tariffs have already had an impact is in energy prices. Gasoline prices fell by almost 3% from April to May, reflecting a 12% decrease from the previous year. This decline is attributed to falling oil prices, which are a result of concerns about global economic growth being affected by tariffs.
While lower energy prices have helped to offset inflation in some areas, grocery prices saw an increase in May. Food prices at home rose by 0.3% for the month, after a 0.4% decrease in the previous month. Economists expressed some concern about rising food prices, noting that it is a category they are closely monitoring.
Other factors contributing to disinflation include healing supply chains and a weakening labor market. Housing inflation has also moderated, with rent prices returning to pre-pandemic norms. These trends suggest a steady downward trend in inflation, potentially reaching the Fed’s long-term target by the end of the year or early next year.
However, the risk of tariffs stalling out disinflation remains a concern for economists. President Trump’s tariffs have increased the effective tariff rate to about 6%, compared to 2% at the end of 2024. The Yale Budget Lab estimates that the average U.S. household could pay an additional $2,500 in 2025 due to tariff policies.
Early signs of tariff impacts were seen in the May CPI report, with notable increases in prices for major appliances and toys. Economists cautioned that while these impacts may not be immediately noticeable, they could gradually affect consumer prices in the future. the perspective of a travel blogger exploring the vibrant culture and history of Istanbul, Turkey.
Istanbul, the enchanting city where East meets West, is a treasure trove of history, culture, and beauty waiting to be explored. As a travel blogger, I had the pleasure of immersing myself in the rich tapestry of Istanbul’s past and present, and I must say, it truly is a city like no other.
One of the first things that struck me about Istanbul was its incredible blend of ancient and modern. The city is home to stunning landmarks such as the Hagia Sophia, a masterpiece of Byzantine architecture, and the Blue Mosque, with its intricate tile work and towering minarets. Walking through the streets of the historic Sultanahmet district, I felt as though I had stepped back in time to the days of the Ottoman Empire.
But Istanbul is not just a city stuck in the past – it is also a vibrant, bustling metropolis with a thriving art and food scene. The Beyoglu district, with its trendy cafes, art galleries, and boutiques, is a testament to the city’s modernity and creativity. I spent hours wandering through the colorful streets, sampling delicious Turkish cuisine and admiring the work of local artists.
Of course, no trip to Istanbul would be complete without a visit to the Grand Bazaar. This sprawling market, with its maze of narrow alleys and bustling stalls, is a sensory overload of sights, sounds, and smells. I found myself haggling with vendors over colorful textiles, intricate ceramics, and fragrant spices, all while sipping on traditional Turkish tea.
One of the highlights of my trip was a cruise along the Bosphorus, the strait that divides Istanbul between Europe and Asia. As the boat glided past palaces, mosques, and fishing villages, I marveled at the beauty of the city’s skyline and the stunning views of the water. It was a peaceful and serene experience that allowed me to appreciate Istanbul’s unique geography and history.
But perhaps the most memorable part of my trip was the warmth and hospitality of the Turkish people. From the friendly shopkeepers who greeted me with a smile to the locals who shared their stories and traditions with me, I felt welcomed and embraced by the city. Istanbul is a place where strangers become friends, and where the spirit of community and connection is alive and well.
As I bid farewell to Istanbul, I knew that I had only scratched the surface of this incredible city. Its history, culture, and beauty are truly endless, and I can’t wait to return and discover more. Istanbul, with its blend of ancient and modern, east and west, is a city that will capture your heart and soul – a city that will stay with you long after you have left its shores.