This evening, the House of Representatives is gearing up for a pivotal rules vote at 9:30 PM ET concerning President Trump’s aptly named Big Beautiful Bill. If the stars align and the vote passes, we can expect approximately three and a half hours of lively discussion, with a significant chunk of that time dedicated to the eloquent (or perhaps not) monologue from Minority Leader Jeffries.
THE HOUSE IS COMING BACK
930 vote expected
If they pass the rule, I estimate roughly 3.5 hours if Jeffries speaks for an hour.
— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) July 3, 2025
FOX News correspondent Chad Pergram has provided insights into the unfolding situation as the voting process gets underway. According to him, the final tally might not occur until the early hours of Thursday morning.
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to Where We Stand on the Big, Beautiful Bill
House GOP leadership remains determined to discuss and pass the bill tonight. However, if they truly had the votes, one might argue they would have already cast them.
As of now, they are still short on votes—though negotiations are ongoing. My prediction? A vote deep into the night, possibly around dawn, if they can manage to untangle this legislative knot.
As the hours drag on, a phenomenon I like to call “Stockholm Syndrome” may set in among the beleaguered members. Exhaustion tends to soften resolve; before long, they might start to favor the very bill that’s keeping them awake.
Currently, the House is at a standstill due to a procedural vote that began at 2:07 PM ET. They could wrap that up at any moment, but GOP leaders are unwilling to do so, as it would initiate a test vote on the bill, which they don’t have the numbers to support. Thus, they remain in this precarious holding pattern.
This particular technical vote has the potential to set the record for the longest vote in House history, with the current record for a motion to adjourn standing at seven hours and 21 minutes since it was established in 2021. The clock is ticking—9:28 PM ET is the moment to watch.
The expectation is that the House will remain on this old vote until a deal is struck, after which they will conclude this vote and proceed to the test vote required to advance to the bill itself.
Once that hurdle is cleared, the floor will be open for debate—originally set for one hour, but, let’s be realistic, it’ll likely stretch well beyond that. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is poised to take advantage of the so-called “Magic Minute,” which, despite its name implying a brief address, typically allows top leaders to speak indefinitely.
After the debate, it will be time for the final vote—assuming they can muster enough support.
Here comes the math: The GOP majority can afford to lose only three votes for the bill to pass. Currently, Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) is firmly in the “no” camp, while House Freedom Caucus Chairman Andy Harris (R-MD) has previously voted “present” and has indicated he’s not a yes just yet.
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to Where We Stand on the Big, Beautiful Bill
House GOP leadership still aims to debate and pass the bill tonight.
However, if they had the votes, the House would have voted already.
They don’t have the votes—yet. But House GOPers are working toward…
— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) July 3, 2025
Meanwhile, Caroline Leavitt has shared a breakdown of the numerous advantages touted in the Big Beautiful Bill.
