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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Is CF Industries Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?
Economy

Is CF Industries Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?

Last updated: September 25, 2025 5:14 pm
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Is CF Industries Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?
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CF Industries Holdings, Inc., headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois, is a significant player in the manufacturing and selling of hydrogen and nitrogen products. These products are crucial for applications in energy, fertilizers, emissions control, and various industrial operations. With a market capitalization of $13.8 billion, CF Industries is dedicated to providing clean energy solutions that aim to sustainably feed and fuel a growing global population.

As a large-cap stock, CF Industries exemplifies the characteristics of companies exceeding a $10 billion valuation. Its impressive market cap reinforces its standing in the agricultural inputs sector. The company’s competitive advantages stem from its extensive scale, vertical integration, and cost leadership in nitrogen fertilizer production, all facilitated by advanced manufacturing processes and strategic access to natural gas resources. CF’s focus on operational excellence and sustainability enhances its market position, allowing it to efficiently distribute products and swiftly respond to market demand changes.

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Despite its robust fundamentals, CF Industries experienced an 18% decline from its 52-week high of $104.45, reached on June 16. Over the past three months, CF stock has fallen by 14.7%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 12.2% during the same period.

www.barchart.com

www.barchart.com

In terms of year-to-date performance, CF shares have seen only marginal growth, rising by 4.9% over the past 52 weeks, which is notably lower than the S&P 500’s impressive gains of 13.8% YTD and 17.4% over the same period.

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Indications of a bearish trend for CF Industries are evident as the stock has been trading below its 50-day moving average since mid-July, coupled with fluctuations. Furthermore, it has remained below its 200-day moving average since early August.

www.barchart.com

www.barchart.com

On August 6, following the release of its Q2 results, CF shares dropped by over 3%. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.37, which exceeded Wall Street expectations of $2.35. Revenue figures also outperformed forecasts, coming in at $1.9 billion compared to anticipated revenues of $1.7 billion.

Within the competitive landscape of agricultural inputs, The Mosaic Company (MOS) has shown stronger performance than CF Industries, boasting a 36% increase on a year-to-date basis and a notable 30.8% return over the past year.

Market analysts appear cautious regarding CF’s future potential. The stock currently holds a consensus “Hold” rating from the 17 analysts covering it, with a mean price target of $93.33 indicating a potential upside of approximately 9% from current levels.

On the date of publication, Neha Panjwani did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is intended solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com

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