Farage’s Ascendancy and Starmer’s Decline: A New Political Landscape in Britain
A recent mega-poll has unveiled a seismic shift in British politics, indicating that Reform UK’s Nigel Farage is inching closer to the Prime Minister’s office, while Labour leader Keir Starmer’s fortunes continue to plummet.
According to the Daily Mail, the More In Common survey revealed that if a general election were held today, Reform UK could secure 290 seats in the House of Commons. While this figure falls short of a majority, it represents a remarkable lead over other parties, more than doubling their seat count.
Britain needs Reform. pic.twitter.com/eOewmzU5qK
— Reform UK (@reformparty_uk) July 6, 2025
Polling over 10,000 respondents, the survey forecasts Labour’s dramatic decline, projecting they will win only 126 seats—a staggering loss of 285 compared to a year ago—leaving them with less than half of what Reform is expected to achieve.
“As Sir Keir approaches his one-year anniversary in Downing Street, the poll also indicates that his personal approval rating has plummeted to an unprecedented -43,” highlighting the steep decline in public sentiment towards the Prime Minister.

The poll suggests that as many as 223 seats could transition from Starmer’s Labour to Farage’s Reform UK, particularly in regions historically seen as Labour strongholds, including the North of England and Wales.
Voter disenchantment with Labour is attributed to the party’s perceived ‘broken promises and U-turns on previous pledges,’ driving constituents to seek alternatives.
Luke Tryl, director of More In Common, remarked on the implications of these findings: “It’s an unhappy birthday for the Prime Minister. His approval ratings have reached an all-time low. […] While we are still a distance from elections and much can change, Nigel Farage’s party is demonstrating an ability to approach a level where they could potentially command an outright majority. The political landscape of Britain has been entirely transformed compared to just a year ago.”
For further insights:
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