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American Focus > Blog > Tech and Science > Notorious asteroid 2024 YR4 won’t crash into the moon after all
Tech and Science

Notorious asteroid 2024 YR4 won’t crash into the moon after all

Last updated: March 5, 2026 9:00 pm
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Notorious asteroid 2024 YR4 won’t crash into the moon after all
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2024 YR4: The Most Dangerous Asteroid Ever Discovered

2024 YR4, a 60-meter asteroid, made headlines in December 2024 when astronomers identified it as the most threatening space rock ever detected. With a 3.1-percent chance of colliding with Earth on December 22, 2032, the potential impact could have been catastrophic, equivalent to several atomic bombs hitting a city. However, further observations ruled out an Earth impact, shifting the focus to a possible collision with the moon.

A late plot twist revealed that 2024 YR4 had a 4.3-percent chance of striking the moon on the same date. The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), originally designed for studying distant celestial objects, played a crucial role in tracking the asteroid’s trajectory. Despite being 450 million kilometers away from Earth, the JWST’s infrared vision enabled astronomers to monitor 2024 YR4’s movements with unprecedented accuracy.

“We think this is certainly the faintest solar system object that has ever been observed,” remarked Andy Rivkin, an astronomer and planetary defense researcher at Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory. The JWST’s capability to detect and track such a distant and potentially hazardous asteroid showcased its vital role in planetary defense efforts.

Although the threat of a lunar impact by 2024 YR4 has been eliminated, the incident highlighted the importance of early detection and tracking of near-Earth objects. The NASA-funded Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) telescopic network first identified 2024 YR4, underscoring the significance of continuous monitoring of space threats.

Astronomers emphasized the need for advanced observation techniques to accurately determine the size and trajectory of asteroids. Infrared observations provided by the JWST proved instrumental in assessing the potential impact of 2024 YR4, paving the way for future asteroid tracking missions.

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As technologies like the Near-Earth Object Surveyor space observatory and the Vera C. Rubin Observatory come online, the ability to detect and mitigate asteroid threats will continue to improve. The successful tracking and analysis of 2024 YR4 serve as a testament to the collaborative efforts of the scientific community in safeguarding Earth and its celestial neighbors.

In conclusion, while 2024 YR4 may no longer pose a threat, the vigilance and preparedness of astronomers remain paramount in addressing future space hazards. The integration of cutting-edge technologies like the JWST ensures that humanity is equipped to face any potential threats from the vast reaches of space.

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