During the tumultuous times of September 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain made a controversial decision to strike a deal with Adolph Hitler. This deal allowed Germany to annex the Sudetenland, a region in Czechoslovakia inhabited by ethnic Germans, in exchange for a promise from Hitler not to make any further territorial advancements. Chamberlain returned home declaring that he had secured “peace for our time.” However, just a few months later, Hitler went back on his word and seized control of all of Czechoslovakia.
In his book titled The Midas Paradox, the author referenced a New York Times report on the market reaction to the Munich Agreement:
“From a strictly market viewpoint, the news of the Czech Government’s decision to cede the Sudeten area to Germany was favorable. Prices improved as the threat of war appeared to diminish. However, there was a sense of tragedy in Czechoslovakia’s surrender and the role played by Britain and France, dampening speculative impulses even in Wall Street.” (NYT, 9/22/38, p. 33)
Reflecting on this historical event, it is evident that appeasing a tyrant in the hopes of maintaining peace can have devastating consequences. The market’s reaction to the Munich Agreement serves as a poignant reminder of the complexities and moral dilemmas involved in such diplomatic decisions.
Fast forward to present times, a tweet shared by a Twitter user highlights a similar sentiment: