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American Focus > Blog > Politics > Republicans are increasingly anxious about a midterms wipeout
Politics

Republicans are increasingly anxious about a midterms wipeout

Last updated: April 9, 2025 2:38 pm
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Republicans are increasingly anxious about a midterms wipeout
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Republican Anxiety Following Elections: A Call to Return to Basics

In the wake of Tuesday’s elections, a palpable sense of trepidation has emerged within the Republican Party. Many GOP leaders are beginning to fear that the aftermath of President Donald Trump’s second term could cast a long shadow over their fortunes in the 2026 midterms.

There’s a growing consensus among party insiders that the GOP needs to refocus on the fundamental issues that propelled them to Washington in the first place—namely, economic concerns. However, the internal discord is evident, particularly regarding Trump’s newly announced tariffs. While some party loyalists argue these tariffs could rejuvenate American manufacturing, many express concern that they could inflate prices and potentially destabilize the economy.

The Republican unease follows a stunning defeat in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, alongside disappointing performances in two special elections in Florida. These results sent shockwaves through the party, prompting calls from several Republican officials and strategists for Trump and his billionaire adviser, Elon Musk, to adopt a more nuanced approach to governance.

Senator Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who finds himself among the most vulnerable GOP senators facing reelection next year, articulated the need for a “smart and measured” strategy. He warns that failure to do so could result in significant electoral repercussions. Drawing parallels to the early backlash against former President Obama, which catalyzed a Democratic rout in the 2010 elections, Tillis cautioned against overreach. “What we don’t want to do is overreach,” he asserted. “These elections serve as proxies for the challenges we may face next year.”

Brian Reisinger, a former GOP strategist with expertise in rural policy, echoed Tillis’s sentiments, emphasizing the necessity for Republicans in competitive districts to heed the messages sent by Tuesday’s results and concentrate on tangible economic issues. “This is a clear signal that they need to address economic frustrations and demonstrate a viable plan,” he stated. He noted that while there’s considerable support for tough trade policies and reduced government spending in rural communities, unchecked tariffs could lead to severe repercussions.

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Meanwhile, within the White House, officials are attempting to downplay the election outcomes. Trump’s team views the Supreme Court race in Wisconsin as a foregone conclusion, suggesting that Republican Rep.-elect Randy Fine was a subpar candidate against the formidable Democrat Josh Weil. They also argue that the Florida seat previously held by Rep. Matt Gaetz was never truly at risk, according to sources who spoke on condition of anonymity.

“President Trump is the only Republican in nearly four decades to dismantle the Democrats’ blue wall, so it’s rather amusing to see them celebrating after a significant defeat last November,” commented White House spokesperson Harrison Fields.

This perspective is shared by some Trump allies as well. “I’m not overly concerned. Republicans were apprehensive about potentially losing a House seat and ultimately didn’t,” remarked Matt Schlapp, chair of the American Conservative Union. “A win is a win in a special election, especially given the considerable outside funding involved.”

In a bold move, the White House is not shying away from politically charged decisions, as Trump announced an expansive set of tariffs on global trade partners. While many allies support the notion that these tariffs could incentivize domestic investment, there is widespread anxiety that they could inflict short-term economic damage, escalate prices, and threaten Republican control of Congress in the upcoming midterms.

Recent polling data reveals that only four in ten voters approve of Trump’s handling of the economy and trade, according to an AP-NORC survey conducted in late March. GOP pollster Robert Blizzard noted, “The reason Trump isn’t seeing job approval ratings in the 50 to 55 percent range is the pervasive discontent over rising costs. Most voters, including Republicans, are uncertain about the tangible benefits of tariffs.”

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For the Democrats, the path to regaining a House majority requires only a handful of seat flips. Their strong showing in Florida—coupled with the success of an anti-Musk campaign in Wisconsin—has led Democratic operatives to see Musk as a potential midterm messaging villain. “As long as he continues to undermine essential programs that families depend on, we’ll make him a focal point in our campaign,” asserted Rep. Lori Trahan (D-Mass.), a member of House leadership.

Democratic leadership is keen on leveraging Musk’s controversial image as part of their electoral strategy. “Republicans will attempt to distance themselves from Elon Musk, but it’s too late for that. You’re inextricably linked, and the fallout will be felt just like it was in Wisconsin,” warned House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries during a press briefing.

However, some Republican House members expressed little surprise at the election results, indicating a lack of consensus on whether Musk should bear the blame. Trump has reportedly told his inner circle that Musk may soon step back from the spotlight. “The results weren’t unexpected,” said Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Pa.), while Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Wis.) characterized Musk as merely a “shiny object,” suggesting that the GOP struggled to mobilize Trump voters during an off-cycle election.

Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) noted, “I anticipated an uptick in Democratic turnout, particularly in response to the energy from the newly elected president’s party.” In a telling sign of the GOP’s desire to redirect the narrative, Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) admitted he was more focused on watching the Yankees than tracking the election results.

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Yet, concern lingers among party ranks. GOP pollster Whit Ayres interpreted the Wisconsin results more as a referendum on Musk, who became a prominent figure in the race, rather than on Trump himself. “There’s no denying that Elon Musk is detrimental to Donald Trump’s standing,” Ayres remarked, referencing a recent survey that showed greater public support for federal workers over Musk, who has been tasked with cutting government programs. His advice to Republicans? “Take his money and tell him to go to Mars.”

Ally Mutnick, Lisa Kashinsky, and Nicholas Wu contributed to this report.

TAGGED:AnxiousIncreasinglymidtermsRepublicanswipeout
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