The recent U.S.-China tariff cuts have provided some relief for the Christmas season, a critical period for retailers. Last year, almost 20% of U.S. retail sales were attributed to the holiday season, with sales reaching a record $994.1 billion. This year, the 90-day window for tariff cuts is expected to help Chinese factories catch up on production for the U.S. Christmas season.
Ryan Zhao, director at Jiangsu Green Willow Textile, mentioned that the 90-day window could help alleviate product shortages for U.S. retailers. However, he noted that some U.S. buyers have already found alternative suppliers outside of China, which may impact the level of orders his company receives.
While the tariff cuts offer temporary relief, the impact of the trade war is still felt in other areas. Cameron Johnson, a senior partner at Tidalwave Solutions, pointed out that the tariffs will still affect Father’s Day and back-to-school sales, leading to increased prices for consumers.
Despite the temporary truce, the previously imposed tariffs on Chinese goods remain in place. The total weighted average U.S. tariff rate on Chinese products now stands at around 43.5%, including pre-existing duties. This has led companies like Topo Athletic to raise prices slightly to offset the tariff impact on products like running shoes.
In response to the tariff cuts, U.S. retail giant Walmart has yet to confirm the impact on its orders from China. The company stated that they will provide more information during their upcoming earnings call. Meanwhile, Chinese exports to the U.S. have declined by over 20% in April, while overall Chinese exports to the world have increased by 8.1%.
The temporary ceasefire in the trade war has provided some relief for retailers gearing up for the Christmas season. However, the long-term effects of the tariffs and the ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain uncertain. As companies navigate these challenges, the hope is for a permanent agreement that benefits both countries and their economies.