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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Tariffs trim Schneider National’s 2025 growth expectations
Economy

Tariffs trim Schneider National’s 2025 growth expectations

Last updated: May 2, 2025 6:50 pm
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Tariffs trim Schneider National’s 2025 growth expectations
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Schneider National, a leading multimodal transportation provider based in Green Bay, Wisconsin, is optimistic about the growth and operational improvements across its three key businesses despite the challenges posed by tariffs. The company expects to see a more subdued pace of growth due to the tariff overhang, but so far, it hasn’t experienced any significant shifts in customer demand.

In the truckload segment, Schneider has witnessed low- to mid-single-digit rate increases this year. However, the carrier is being selective about the volume it takes from shippers when the rates are not favorable. As a result, the company anticipates more muted rate and volume growth in this segment moving forward. Schneider is currently one-third of the way through its TL bid season.

The acquisition of dedicated carrier Cowan Systems in December has positively impacted Schneider’s financial performance. The company reported first-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 16 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2 cents and showing a 5-cent increase year over year.

Despite the positive results, Schneider has revised its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to 75 cents to $1, a 17% reduction from its initial guidance. The company attributes this adjustment to the current trade policy and increased economic uncertainty affecting both price and volume. To offset the impact of a weaker economy, Schneider plans to focus on tractor utilization initiatives and cost reduction strategies, including AI-enabled efficiency programs.

In the truckload unit, Schneider saw a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $614 million, largely driven by the Cowan acquisition. The segment also experienced a 13% increase in average trucks in service and a 3% year-over-year improvement in revenue per truck per week. Despite these positive indicators, Schneider continues to streamline its one-way fleet due to perceived economic challenges in that segment.

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Looking ahead, Schneider expects the truckload segment to experience more moderate pricing improvements and lower volume growth than previously anticipated. The company remains focused on customer retention in the dedicated segment, aiming to offset any churn with new business wins.

In the intermodal segment, Schneider reported a 5% year-over-year revenue increase to $260 million. The company anticipates continued volume growth alongside moderate pricing improvement, with new business wins expected to counter any tariff-related demand fluctuations.

Schneider’s logistics revenue was up 2% year over year to $332 million, with the Cowan acquisition offsetting legacy volume declines. The company plans to reduce its net capex plan and maintain an asset-light approach in the dedicated segment, utilizing owner-operators when possible.

Despite the challenges posed by tariffs and economic uncertainty, Schneider remains focused on driving growth and operational improvements across its business segments. With a strategic approach to cost management and efficiency initiatives, the company aims to navigate the evolving trade landscape and deliver value to its customers and shareholders.

TAGGED:expectationsGrowthNationalsSchneiderTariffsTriM
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