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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Tax refunds are up from a year ago. Will that help the burn of higher gas prices?
Economy

Tax refunds are up from a year ago. Will that help the burn of higher gas prices?

Last updated: March 23, 2026 12:20 pm
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Tax refunds are up from a year ago. Will that help the burn of higher gas prices?
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The latest data from the Internal Revenue Service shows that the average tax refund amount has increased by nearly 11% compared to last year, reaching a total of $3,623 for the week of March 13. The total amount of refunds issued by the government has also seen a 12% increase, totaling $182.6 billion. With visits to IRS.gov surging by over 54% from a year ago, it is evident that the tax filing season is in full swing, with nearly 70 million returns already received ahead of the April 15 deadline.

One of the contributing factors to the increase in tax refunds this year is the One Big Beautiful Bill, which includes new and expanded deductions aimed at boosting Americans’ refunds. However, the recent surge in gas prices due to the US-Israel war on Iran could potentially offset these anticipated savings. Economists at Oxford Economics have predicted that 2026 might see the slowest annual consumption growth since 2013, excluding the pandemic, as consumers may cut back on spending due to higher gas prices.

While a tax refund may feel like a bonus, it is essentially a loan to the government without any interest being paid to you. David Perez, founder and CEO of Tax Maverick, highlights that the cash refunded to taxpayers could have been utilized throughout the year to cover expenses or manage debt, rather than sitting with the government.

The rising household debt and serious delinquencies in payments emphasize the importance of utilizing money wisely. With elevated inflation rates, increasing unemployment, higher gas prices, and long-term financial goals in mind, it becomes crucial to consider how to make the most of your money throughout the year.

See also  Deadweight Loss From Taxes is Proportional to the Square of the Tax Rate

Adjusting your tax withholding can provide immediate funds to cover living expenses, accelerate debt payoff, or reduce reliance on high-interest credit cards. By using the extra money from adjusted withholdings wisely, you can build up savings, cover emergencies, or make large purchases without accumulating unnecessary credit card debt.

Investing the additional cash flow from adjusted withholdings could also lead to potential growth over time. By channeling the money into retirement accounts, brokerage accounts, or high-yield savings, you can maximize its earning potential and secure your financial future.

If you typically receive a large tax refund, it may indicate that too much tax is being withheld from your paycheck. Adjusting your Form W-4 can help you keep more of your paycheck throughout the year, rather than waiting for a lump sum refund. By tweaking various steps on your W-4, such as adjusting dependents, deductions, and extra withholding, you can reduce the amount of tax withheld and increase your take-home pay.

It is essential to find the right balance when adjusting your withholdings to avoid underpayment penalties or a significant tax bill at filing time. Consulting the IRS Withholding Estimator or a certified tax professional can help you determine the optimal withholding amount based on your individual circumstances. Updating your W-4 after major life events is also recommended to ensure that you are withholding the correct amount of tax throughout the year.

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