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American Focus > Blog > Tech and Science > The Real Reason Autism Rates Are Rising
Tech and Science

The Real Reason Autism Rates Are Rising

Last updated: April 19, 2025 8:45 pm
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The Real Reason Autism Rates Are Rising
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Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., recently made headlines with his alarming statements about the rising rates of autism in the United States. However, scientists are quick to point out that Kennedy’s assertions about the cause of this increase are not supported by scientific evidence. Here’s what the latest research says about autism rates and their underlying causes.

According to a newly released report from the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network (ADDM), one in 31 eight-year-olds in the U.S. now have an autism diagnosis. This represents a significant increase from previous decades when rates of autism were much lower. However, researchers caution that this rise is not solely due to a sudden increase in environmental exposures, as Kennedy suggested.

One of the key points emphasized by scientists is that autism is highly heritable, with between 60 and 90 percent of cases having a genetic component. In up to 40 percent of cases, specific genetic mutations can be identified as the underlying cause of the condition. While environmental factors such as air pollution may play a role in some cases, the overall increase in autism rates is largely attributed to improved diagnostic criteria and increased awareness of the disorder.

Kennedy’s claim that autism is an “epidemic” caused by a recent environmental exposure is at odds with the scientific consensus. Researchers have found that changes in diagnostic criteria and reporting practices explain a significant portion of the rise in autism cases. For example, a study in Denmark found that 60 percent of the increase in autism among children born between 1980 and 1991 was due to changes in diagnostic criteria.

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Additionally, the wide variation in autism rates from state to state in the U.S. can be largely attributed to differences in screening and assessment practices. States like California, which have implemented intensive early screening programs, tend to have higher rates of autism diagnosis compared to states with less comprehensive screening programs.

While some environmental risk factors for autism have been identified, such as infections during pregnancy and exposure to pollution, it is clear that the complexity of autism requires a multifaceted approach to understanding its causes. Researchers are continuing to investigate the role of genetics, environment, and other factors in the development of autism.

In conclusion, while the rise in autism rates is a cause for concern, it is important to rely on scientific evidence and consensus when discussing the underlying causes of this complex disorder. By supporting ongoing research and understanding the nuances of autism, we can better support individuals and families affected by this condition.

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