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American Focus > Blog > Politics > There Are Now More Democrats Than Republicans In The US
Politics

There Are Now More Democrats Than Republicans In The US

Last updated: July 31, 2025 12:35 pm
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There Are Now More Democrats Than Republicans In The US
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In the aftermath of Trump’s victory in the 2024 election, a cacophony of alarmists emerged, decrying the Democratic Party’s supposed disconnection from the electorate and lamenting a perceived shift of the nation to the right. Such rhetoric painted a picture of an impending Democratic apocalypse, with party insiders and media pundits clamoring for a radical overhaul of messaging to reconnect with voters.

Yet, it appears that this narrative may have been more hyperbole than reality.

Recent data from Gallup:

In the second quarter of 2025, an average of 46% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats or as independents leaning Democratic, while 43% identified as Republicans or leaned Republican.

This three-percentage-point advantage for Democrats marks a notable shift from a tie in the first quarter of 2025, following a four-point Republican lead in the last quarter of 2024. Prior to this, the Republican Party had consistently led or been in parity with the Democrats since 2023.

…

The net increase in Democratic affiliation—from 43% to 46%—between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 is primarily attributed to a four-point rise in independents leaning Democratic, rather than an increase in outright Democratic identifiers, which actually saw a one-point decline.

In contrast, the Republican Party experienced a four-point drop during the same timeframe, with equal declines in both those identifying as Republican and those leaning Republican.

So, what’s behind this shift?

See also  Trump Screws Up And Now Republicans Own The Iran War
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