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American Focus > Blog > Economy > This Metric Is a Warning Sign Not to Buy Super Micro Computer Stock
Economy

This Metric Is a Warning Sign Not to Buy Super Micro Computer Stock

Last updated: February 9, 2026 9:50 am
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This Metric Is a Warning Sign Not to Buy Super Micro Computer Stock
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Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) recently reported its fiscal 2026 second-quarter results, causing its stock price to initially climb due to strong revenue growth and an increase in revenue guidance for the fiscal year. However, the stock later experienced a slight decline before recovering again, showcasing its volatility in the market.

For those unfamiliar with Supermicro, the company specializes in designing and assembling servers and rack solutions for data centers, offering a comprehensive range of products to meet its customers’ needs. It is a key partner of Nvidia and often customizes its systems around the chipmaker’s graphics processing units (GPUs).

Despite experiencing rapid revenue growth, Supermicro has been facing significant gross margin pressure over the past few years. This trend started in the June 2024 quarter when its gross margin dropped to 11.2% from 17% a year earlier. In the latest quarter, the gross margin hit a new low of 6.3%, down from 11.8% the previous year. However, management believes that the gross margins have bottomed out and anticipates an improvement, particularly with the increased adoption of its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) products, which offer higher margins.

Despite the challenges with gross margins, Supermicro has seen strong revenue and earnings growth. In the fiscal second quarter, the company’s revenue more than doubled year over year to $12.7 billion, surpassing analyst estimates. Adjusted earnings per share also increased by 17% to $0.69, beating consensus estimates.

Looking ahead, management has projected a minimum revenue of $12.3 billion for the fiscal third quarter and raised the full-year revenue outlook to at least $40 billion. They also anticipate adjusted EPS of at least $0.60 for Q3 and a sequential increase of 30 basis points in adjusted gross margin.

See also  Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) Stock Forecasts

Supermicro operates in a highly competitive and commoditized market, facing challenges in maintaining margins while meeting customer demands. The company is striving to differentiate itself through its DCBBS products and other innovations like liquid-cooled servers. However, the effectiveness of these initiatives remains to be seen.

In conclusion, while Super Micro Computer continues to navigate through challenges in its margins, its strong revenue growth and earnings performance indicate potential for future success. Investors should closely monitor the company’s progress and strategic initiatives to assess its long-term growth prospects in the evolving data center market.

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