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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Treasury yields rise, dollar down amid fiscal concerns after US downgrade
Economy

Treasury yields rise, dollar down amid fiscal concerns after US downgrade

Last updated: May 19, 2025 7:37 pm
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Treasury yields rise, dollar down amid fiscal concerns after US downgrade
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The financial markets experienced some turbulence on Monday as concerns about the U.S. debt load and a tax-cut bill weighed on investor sentiment. Longer-dated Treasury yields saw an increase, while the dollar faced some downward pressure following Moody’s downgrade of the country’s sovereign credit rating.

Major U.S. stock indexes initially dipped but managed to recover from early losses to end the day relatively flat or slightly higher. The downgrade by Moody’s Investors Service, which cut the United States’ sovereign credit rating from triple-A, underscored the country’s deteriorating fiscal outlook.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s tax-cut bill, which was approved by a key congressional committee on Sunday, raised worries about the increasing debt load. The 30-year Treasury yield reached an 18-month high before retreating, with investors expressing concerns about the potential impact of the tax bill on the country’s finances.

The 30-year bond yield rose to 4.934% after hitting 5.037%, its highest level since November 2023. Similarly, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes climbed to 4.469%, reaching 4.564%, the highest level since April 11.

While the downgrade by Moody’s drew attention, some analysts saw it as more symbolic than impactful, noting that other rating agencies had already downgraded the U.S. debt previously. Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York, remarked that the market’s reaction to the news was mixed, with yields moving higher for various reasons.

Despite the downgrade, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed its significance in television interviews on Sunday. Federal Reserve officials also weighed in on the market reaction, with New York Fed President John Williams emphasizing that investors still view the U.S. as a favorable investment destination.

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In terms of stock performance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 137.33 points, the S&P 500 increased by 5.22 points, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 4.36 points by the end of the trading day.

Looking ahead, analysts will closely monitor earnings reports from companies like Home Depot and Target for insights into consumer spending trends amid Trump’s tariff policies. The central bank’s ability to cut interest rates may be limited by concerns about rising inflation due to higher import taxes.

Finance leaders from the Group of Seven democracies are set to meet this week to discuss economic security, Ukraine, and artificial intelligence cooperation, aiming to show unity on various issues. Meanwhile, oil prices saw a slight uptick despite an impasse in U.S. talks with Iran over its nuclear program, while gold prices gained ground.

In conclusion, the financial markets continue to navigate through challenges related to the U.S. debt load, tax policies, and geopolitical tensions. Investors remain vigilant as they assess the implications of these developments on various asset classes and market dynamics.

This rewritten article integrates key information from the original content while providing a fresh perspective on the financial landscape.

TAGGED:ConcernsDollardowngradefiscalriseTreasuryYields
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