House Republicans have made a promise to not use reconciliation to cut Social Security, a move that was hailed as a victory by Donald Trump. However, the reality is that reconciliation cannot legally be used to make cuts to Social Security.
According to political analyst Matt Glassman, the promise made by House Republicans is essentially a meaningless gesture. He describes it as “A Fig Leaf for the ages if they sign a letter promising not to cut Social Security via a process that is statutorily prohibited from cutting Social Security.”
The reason for this is that by law, Social Security cannot be altered using the reconciliation process. The Brookings Institution explains that the Byrd Rule, which governs the reconciliation process, explicitly states that changes to Social Security benefits or payroll taxes cannot be included in a reconciliation bill.
While Trump may boast about securing a pledge to protect Social Security, the reality is that this promise is redundant. Instead, it raises concerns that other vital programs such as healthcare for the less fortunate, children, the disabled, and veterans may be targeted for cuts instead.
Therefore, while the agreement between House Republicans and Trump may seem like a significant achievement on the surface, it ultimately serves as a symbolic gesture rather than a meaningful policy change. The focus now shifts to how other crucial social programs will be affected by potential cuts in the future.