A galaxy located about half a billion light-years away may provide a unique opportunity to observe a supermassive black hole collision in real-time, potentially within a century.
Recent analysis of light from the blazar galaxy Mrk 501 indicates the possible presence of two supermassive black holes, each propelling its own high-speed jet of matter. Although this isn’t a definitive discovery, a study led by astronomer Silke Britzen from the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy in Germany suggests this is the most plausible explanation for the galaxy’s unusual behavior.
If confirmed, this could represent a major milestone in cosmology: the first observed merger of supermassive black holes that are millions to billions of times more massive than the Sun.
“To date, no double jet system in a blazar core has been directly imaged,” Britzen and her team write. “Our current work presents the initial detection of such a system, leading to the conclusion of a binary supermassive black hole within this blazar’s core.”

Supermassive black holes are believed to reside at the centers of all major galaxies, serving as the gravitational anchor around which the galaxy orbits. These giants can amass incredible masses and pose several intriguing questions.
A key mystery is how they achieve such immense sizes. Stellar-mass black holes, which have masses in the tens of solar masses, form from the remnants of massive, dying stars. These can merge to form larger black holes, with the largest known reaching about 225 solar masses.
However, the processes leading to black holes with masses millions of times greater remain elusive. This is partly because we currently lack the tools to detect gravitational waves from a single supermassive black hole merger, which would be instrumental in understanding their growth via mergers.
Despite their size, supermassive black holes can be less elusive than smaller black holes. They often consume huge amounts of surrounding material, forming a disk that heats up and emits light as it spirals inward.
Some of this material is channeled along magnetic field lines outside the event horizon, accelerating towards the black hole’s poles and forming a powerful plasma jet that radiates in radio wavelengths. Both the luminous disk and the high-speed jets can be detected by telescopes, indicating the presence of a voracious supermassive black hole.
Galaxies are known to merge, resulting in larger formations, and their central black holes are drawn together in the process. Numerous examples exist of galaxies post-merger housing two or more supermassive black holes in a spiraling orbit, ultimately expected to merge.
frameborder=”0″ allow=”accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share” referrerpolicy=”strict-origin-when-cross-origin” allowfullscreen>Mrk 501, approximately 464 million light-years from Earth, is a galaxy that astronomers have long suspected may host a binary supermassive black hole. As a blazar, it has an active supermassive black hole with a relativistic jet almost directly aimed at Earth, making detailed core analyses challenging due to its brightness across the electromagnetic spectrum.
Britzen and her team used ultra-high-resolution radio telescopes to monitor changes in Mrk 501’s center across various radio wavelengths over 23 years, tracking bright features within the jet.
Through these observations, they reconstructed the movement of material near the galaxy’s central engine, uncovering a strange pattern suggesting a second, fainter jet looping counterclockwise around the radio core.
“It was like navigating a ship,” Britzen notes. “The entire jet system is in motion. A dual black hole system could explain this: the orbital plane is swaying.”

The team modeled the observed motion and concluded it is best explained by the presence of a second supermassive black hole. They identified two periods of light fluctuation: one lasting seven years, consistent with a wobbling jet system, and another lasting 121 days, possibly representing the orbital period of the two black holes. These are separated by 250 to 540 times the distance between Earth and the Sun, an extremely close range for such massive objects.
This separation is a minuscule fraction of a parsec, which equals about 3.2 light-years. This is significant because of the “final parsec problem.”

Theoretical models suggest that as supermassive black holes orbit each other, they transfer orbital energy to surrounding stars and gas, causing their orbit to shrink. However, as the distance decreases, the potential to lose momentum diminishes.
When they are about one parsec apart, their local environment can’t support further orbital decay, potentially stalling their orbit for longer than the Universe’s current age.
If Mrk 501 indeed hosts a binary supermassive black hole, with an orbital separation as tight as 0.0026 parsecs, it suggests such binaries might overcome a gap considered difficult by physics.
Supermassive black holes are indeed fascinating entities.
Given the potential proximity of this unconfirmed binary, their collision could occur within less than 100 years, according to researchers. Monitoring MRK 501, particularly with pulsar timing arrays capable of detecting low-frequency gravitational waves, is crucial.
Related: Astronomers May Have Seen Colliding Black Holes Trigger a Blaze of Light
“If gravitational waves are detected,” says astronomer Héctor Olivares from Radboud University in the Netherlands, “we might observe their frequency increasing as the two giants spiral toward collision, providing a rare opportunity to watch a supermassive black hole merger unfold.”
The paper has been accepted for publication in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.

