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American Focus > Blog > Environment > What We’re Watching: Lightning-Ignited Wildfires, Smoke, and New Wildfire Research 
Environment

What We’re Watching: Lightning-Ignited Wildfires, Smoke, and New Wildfire Research 

Last updated: September 21, 2025 9:10 pm
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What We’re Watching: Lightning-Ignited Wildfires, Smoke, and New Wildfire Research 
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This Week’s Wildfire Update: A Dangerous Combination of Lightning, Drought, and Climate Change

This week in Danger Season, wildfires have ravaged the western United States and southwestern Canada, prompting the National Interagency Fire Center to raise its preparedness level to 4. As the demands of the fire season grow, new research is shedding light on the alarming connections between climate change and extreme wildfire weather.

Contents
This Week’s Wildfire Update: A Dangerous Combination of Lightning, Drought, and Climate ChangeTinder Meets Spark: Lightning Ignites Fires Amid Drought and Extreme HeatClimate Change Connection to Wildfires

Tinder Meets Spark: Lightning Ignites Fires Amid Drought and Extreme Heat

On Tuesday, thousands of lightning strikes set off over 20 wildfires in abnormally dry areas of California. Strong winds fueled the rapid spread of fires, forcing evacuations in counties like Tuolumne, Calaveras, and Stanislaus. The largest blaze, the TCU September Lightning Complex, has damaged historic buildings in Chinese Camp and is only 15% contained.

Meanwhile, record temperatures in California, Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia have exacerbated wildfire risks. With some areas experiencing temperatures 15-20 degrees Fahrenheit above average, communities are grappling with both smoke impacts and extreme heat.

Climate Change Connection to Wildfires

New research from World Weather Attribution reveals that climate change has increased the likelihood of wildfires in Spain and Portugal. The study shows that August’s extreme weather, which fueled the wildfires, is now 40 times more likely due to climate change.

While forest management can help reduce wildfire risks, it is not a standalone solution. Interventions like fuel treatments and prescribed burning require long-term investments in land and wildfire management. These efforts must focus on ecosystem health, water filtration, livelihoods, cultural heritage, and carbon sequestration to enhance community resilience.

See also  What We’re Watching: Wildfire Smoke and Trump Administration Mirrors

The National Interagency Fire Center’s updated seasonal outlook predicts continued elevated fire activity along the west coast through the fall. Climate change is reshaping daily life for many Americans, with longer wildfire seasons and heightened risks becoming the new norm.

Monthly seasonal outlooks showing significant wildland fire potential for September through December of 2025. Red shading indicates above normal potential.

About the Author

Carly Phillips is a Research Scientist with the Science Hub for Climate Litigation at the Union of Concerned Scientists.

TAGGED:LightningIgnitedResearchsmokewatchingwildfirewildfires
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