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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Will NYU’s Aswath Damodaran’s Prediction About Oracle (ORCL) Be Correct?
Economy

Will NYU’s Aswath Damodaran’s Prediction About Oracle (ORCL) Be Correct?

Last updated: September 25, 2025 2:27 pm
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Will NYU’s Aswath Damodaran’s Prediction About Oracle (ORCL) Be Correct?
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In a recent article, we highlighted 10 Stocks Gaining Momentum Following Key Analyst Insights. Among those stocks, Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) has captured significant attention from industry analysts.

Aswath Damodaran, a respected finance professor at NYU Stern School of Business, shared insights in a CNBC program suggesting that during major economic booms, companies categorized as “architecture firms” often see early success. However, he believes that the ultimate victors are typically those in the product and services sectors. Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) has been identified by Damodaran as a key player that may rise to prominence in the upcoming economic landscape:

“In the next few months and years, you will see more companies from product and service sectors take the lead rather than those in architecture. Historical trends indicate that while architecture firms initially perform well—like Cisco during the dotcom boom—the top rewards ultimately go to product and service providers. Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), alongside others like Palantir, Microsoft, and Meta, aspires to be at the forefront of this shift, and it will be fascinating to see which of these firms emerges as the winner, or if a new contender appears.”

Will Aswath Damodaran’s Prediction About Oracle (ORCL) Be Correct?

Will Aswath Damodaran’s Prediction About Oracle (ORCL) Be Correct?

Following its latest earnings announcements, Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) experienced a significant surge in share prices. The tech giant projected that its booked revenue could surpass $0.5 trillion, underscoring its robust positioning in the enterprise software market. Known for its foundational presence in enterprise databases and ERP software, Oracle caters to a diverse array of large clients including banks and healthcare providers. By providing competitively priced cloud services while seamlessly integrating SaaS, ERP, and HCM solutions, Oracle is effectively creating substantial switching costs and establishing a formidable competitive moat.

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Loomis Sayles Growth Fund commented on Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) in its recent Q2 2025 Investor Letter, stating:

“Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) is a dominant force in the enterprise software industry, holding a solid market share in database, infrastructure, and application software, as well as cloud-based services. The company’s edge lies in its experienced sales team, a founder-led management that relentlessly invests in a leading intellectual property portfolio and a unique product offering, along with a substantial client base that experiences high switching costs. We believe Oracle is in a prime position to capitalize on the rising demand for data storage, enterprise application software, and the transition to cloud solutions. As a long-term investment, Oracle recently reported robust quarterly results exceeding management’s guidance and market expectations, particularly in remaining performance obligations (RPO) bookings. Consequently, the company anticipates an acceleration in revenue growth and has raised its forecast to at least 16% growth for the fiscal year 2026, driven by cloud growth rates exceeding 40%. It remains the global leader in enterprise database software utilized in client on-premise IT environments while actively transitioning toward a cloud subscription model, recognizing revenue over the lifetime of client contracts. Despite short-term revenue pressures resulting from this transition, we anticipate that this shift will yield faster overall growth in the long run due to increased customer lifetime value as the transition unfolds. We also believe that the cloud model will enable Oracle to effectively monetize its services and technology and deliver cost savings to its customers…” (Read the full letter here)

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