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One of the perennial blunders that congressional majorities often commit—one that can catalyze wave elections that oust them from power—is their tendency to back unpopular legislation simply because their party occupies the White House and the president is eager for the bill’s passage.
Such decisions can lead to significant losses in the House and Senate during midterm elections. These contests often hinge not on the campaigns that unfold in the fall, but rather on the groundwork laid long before voters step into the voting booth.
Take, for instance, Donald Trump’s disregard for the cautionary advice from Senate Republicans regarding his ambitious strategy to bundle his entire legislative agenda into a single, sweeping bill. This approach was widely seen as fraught with potential political hazards.
Trump, however, forged ahead, and the ramifications are now becoming evident.
A significant portion of the American populace is expressing their discontent with what has been dubbed the Big Beautiful Bill.
According to a recent poll conducted by Quinnipiac University:
As discussions in the Senate heat up around the GOP’s tax and spending initiative, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—championed by President Trump, who has set a July 4 deadline for its signing—voters are opposed by a margin of 53% to 27%, with 20% remaining unsure, as per a national poll released today.
Support among Republicans stands at 67% versus 10% against the bill, with 22% undecided.
For Democrats, the opposition is stark: 89% against and just 2% in favor, with 10% undecided.
Independents also lean against the bill, with 57% opposing it and 20% supporting it, while 23% remain undecided.
In terms of federal Medicaid funding considerations, nearly half of voters (47%) believe it should increase, while 40% think it should remain stable, and 10% advocate for a decrease.
Breaking it down by party, 21% of Republicans wish for increased Medicaid funding, 56% want it to stay the same, and 18% favor cuts.
Among Democrats, a notable 69% call for an increase, with 27% preferring the status quo, and merely 2% suggesting a decrease.
Independents reflect similar sentiments: 47% support an increase, 39% want it to stay the same, and 11% are in favor of cuts.
Interestingly, only 10% of Americans advocate for cuts to Medicaid, and a striking 77% of Republicans believe funding should either remain constant or increase, with just 18% supporting cuts.
In essence, the Big Beautiful Bill faces a formidable challenge, with a clear 53%-27% opposition among voters. Notably, only 67% of Republicans back the proposed legislation.
This signals a resounding message from the public: there is little appetite for tax reductions favoring the wealthy while essential services like healthcare and food assistance are at risk of being slashed.
The Big Beautiful Bill is precisely the kind of legislation that can trigger wave elections, potentially sweeping the ruling party out of power.
However, House and Senate Republicans still possess the opportunity to redeem themselves by abandoning this bill. Voting in favor of it could very well be a step toward political self-destruction for many incumbents.
What are your thoughts on the American public’s rejection of the Big Beautiful Bill? Share your views in the comments below.