President Donald J. Trump’s ambitious legislative initiative, dubbed the One Big Beautiful Bill, promises to deliver a monumental economic boon for working and middle-class Americans. This proposal is touted as the largest tax reduction in history, which, alongside significant spending cuts and efforts to curb the national deficit, aims to set the stage for authentic economic prosperity in the United States.
According to a fresh analysis from the Council of Economic Advisers, the proposed benefits are projected to reach Americans across all 50 states:
| State | Long-term wage increase (Inflation-adjusted) |
Take-home pay increase (Typical family with two kids) |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama | $4,800 to $9,100 | $6,500 to $10,800 |
| Alaska | $6,400 to $12,200 | $8,100 to $13,900 |
| Arizona | $5,800 to $11,100 | $7,500 to $12,800 |
| Arkansas | $4,500 to $8,600 | $6,200 to $10,300 |
| California | $7,500 to $14,300 | $9,200 to $16,000 |
| Colorado | $7,000 to $13,300 | $8,700 to $15,000 |
| Connecticut | $7,300 to $14,000 | $7,300 to $14,000 |
| Delaware | $6,100 to $11,700 | $7,800 to $13,400 |
| Florida | $5,800 to $11,000 | $7,500 to $12,700 |
| Georgia | $5,800 to $11,000 | $7,500 to $12,700 |
| Hawaii | $7,000 to $13,300 | $8,700 to $15,000 |
| Idaho | $5,500 to $10,500 | $7,200 to $12,200 |
| Illinois | $6,200 to $11,800 | $7,900 to $13,500 |
| Indiana | $5,100 to $9,800 | $6,800 to $11,500 |
| Iowa | $5,200 to $10,000 | $6,900 to $11,700 |
| Kansas | $5,200 to $10,000 | $6,900 to $11,700 |
| Kentucky | $4,700 to $8,900 | $6,400 to $10,600 |
| Louisiana | $4,700 to $8,900 | $6,400 to $10,600 |
| Maine | $5,400 to $10,300 | $7,100 to $12,000 |
| Maryland | $7,200 to $13,800 | $8,900 to $15,500 |
| Massachusetts | $7,700 to $14,800 | $9,400 to $16,500 |
| Michigan | $5,200 to $10,000 | $6,900 to $11,700 |
| Minnesota | $6,300 to $12,100 | $8,000 to $13,800 |
| Mississippi | $4,300 to $8,100 | $6,000 to $9,800 |
| Missouri | $5,200 to $9,900 | $6,900 to $11,600 |
| Montana | $5,300 to $10,000 | $7,000 to $11,700 |
| Nebraska | $5,700 to $10,800 | $7,400 to $12,500 |
| Nevada | $5,800 to $11,000 | $7,500 to $12,700 |
| New Hampshire | $7,000 to $13,300 | $8,700 to $15,000 |
| New Jersey | $7,700 to $14,700 | $9,400 to $16,400 |
| New Mexico | $4,800 to $9,100 | $6,500 to $10,800 |
| New York | $6,800 to $13,000 | $8,500 to $14,700 |
| North Carolina | $5,500 to $10,500 | $7,200 to $12,200 |
| North Dakota | $5,500 to $10,500 | $7,200 to $12,200 |
| Ohio | $5,200 to $10,000 | $6,900 to $11,700 |
| Oklahoma | $4,800 to $9,100 | $6,500 to $10,800 |
| Oregon | $6,000 to $11,400 | $7,700 to $13,100 |
| Pennsylvania | $5,700 to $10,900 | $7,400 to $12,600 |
| Rhode Island | $6,300 to $12,000 | $8,000 to $13,700 |
| South Carolina | $5,200 to $9,900 | $6,900 to $11,600 |
| South Dakota | $5,400 to $10,300 | $7,100 to $12,000 |
| Tennessee | $5,300 to $10,000 | $7,000 to $11,700 |
| Texas | $6,000 to $11,300 | $7,700 to $13,000 |
| Utah | $6,600 to $12,500 | $8,300 to $14,200 |
| Vermont | $5,900 to $11,300 | $7,600 to $13,000 |
| Virginia | $6,900 to $13,100 | $8,600 to $14,800 |
| Washington | $7,200 to $13,800 | $8,900 to $15,500 |
| West Virginia | $4,300 to $8,200 | $6,000 to $9,900 |
| Wisconsin | $5,500 to $10,400 | $7,200 to $12,000 |
| Wyoming | $5,200 to $9,900 | $6,900 to $11,600 |
Methodological notes:
- The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) employs established academic methodologies to estimate how reduced effective tax rates will stimulate investment, GDP growth, and wage increases. This approach draws from successful predictions made regarding the impacts of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA).
- Take-home pay—defined as earnings after taxes—will rise due to wage increases and reduced tax withholdings from workers’ salaries.
- The CEA also anticipates a GDP boost from the augmented labor supply resulting from lower taxes and the enhanced purchasing power of American families.
- For more details on the methodology, click here.
