Alzheimer’s disease is a devastating condition that affects millions of people worldwide. A new study has found that blood tests could potentially predict the age at which individuals may develop symptoms of the disease, long before they show any signs of cognitive decline. While this discovery is promising, experts caution that these tests are not yet ready for use in healthy individuals.
The study, published in Nature Medicine, involved over 600 participants aged 62 to 78 who were cognitively healthy. They underwent blood tests to detect a protein called p-tau217, which is associated with Alzheimer’s disease. Using a predictive model based on these tests, researchers were able to estimate the age of disease onset in individuals without cognitive impairment, with a margin of error of three to four years.
According to Suzanne Schindler, an associate professor of neurology at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis and co-author of the study, the ability to predict when symptoms will manifest is a significant advancement. However, the accuracy and reliability of these tests are still under question, and further research is needed before they can be widely implemented.
Alzheimer’s disease is characterized by the accumulation of amyloid and tau proteins in the brain, which can develop over a decade or more before symptoms appear. While traditional diagnostic methods such as spinal taps and PET scans are available, blood tests offer a more accessible and cost-effective alternative.
Currently, two blood tests, Lumipulse and Elecsys, are approved for use in individuals with Alzheimer’s symptoms in the U.S. However, experts warn against using these tests in asymptomatic individuals due to potential inaccuracies. Detecting Alzheimer’s early is crucial for initiating treatment, as two drugs have been approved to slow disease progression when administered early.
Although the predictive blood tests show promise, they are not foolproof. Factors such as age and underlying health conditions can impact the accuracy of the results. Despite these limitations, the tests can still be valuable for diagnosis and treatment planning.
The study was funded through a public-private partnership and the data are publicly available for further analysis. Researchers are hopeful that these findings will lead to advancements in Alzheimer’s research and pave the way for personalized treatment strategies in the future.

