The Milky Way, our home galaxy, presents a paradoxical mix of vast emptiness and crowded spaces. With hundreds of billions of stars and expansive clouds of gas and dust, it may seem jam-packed at first glance. However, the reality is that there is plenty of elbow room between stars, with the nearest star to the sun located more than four light-years away.
In the galactic suburbs where our solar system resides, stars are spread out, allowing them to orbit through the Milky Way without overcrowding. But despite this spacious environment, there are occasional close encounters with neighboring stars. For example, Scholz’s star passed by our sun at a distance of just 0.85 light-years around 80,000 years ago, and in about 1.3 million years, Gliese 710 will come within 0.17 light-years of our solar system.
While these events may seem distant on a human timescale, they raise questions about the long-term stability of our solar system. The sun is surrounded by the Oort Cloud, a vast halo of icy bodies that could be perturbed by passing stars, potentially leading to impacts on inner planets. Some researchers have even speculated that such encounters could trigger mass extinction events.
Recent research published in the Astrophysical Journal Letters has shown that the passage of Scholz’s star was unlikely to cause significant disruption to the Oort Cloud. However, as other stars pass by over millions of years, the outer reaches of our solar system could face disturbances. This includes gravitational interactions that could affect the orbits of planets, particularly Mercury, which is vulnerable to resonance effects from outer planets like Neptune.
Simulation studies that account for passing stars have shown that Pluto, Mercury, and Mars may be less stable than previously thought. Pluto, in particular, has a 4 percent chance of being ejected from the solar system over a five-billion-year timescale, while Mercury and Mars face increased risks of orbital disruptions.
Despite these potential risks, it’s essential to keep the timescale in perspective. These events are projected to occur billions of years in the future, and the universe has a way of persevering through challenges. While the long-term stability of our solar system is a fascinating topic for study, it’s not something to lose sleep over in the present moment. The cosmos may be a dangerous place over millennia, but for now, we can appreciate the relative calm of our corner of the galaxy.