Award-winning Athletes: The Myth of the Child Prodigy

Award-winning athletes may have been late bloomers when it came to developing their skills
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International chess masters, Olympic gold medallists, and Nobel prize-winning scientists were rarely child prodigies, a review reveals. Contrary to popular belief, early childhood successes and intense training programs have rarely led to top achievement at a global level in the adult world.
The analysis – based on 19 studies involving nearly 35,000 high-performing individuals – shows that the vast majority of adults who lead worldwide rankings in their field of expertise grew up participating in a broad range of activities, only gradually developing their most proficient skill.
The findings challenge the notion that achieving top international performance levels requires intensive, highly focused training during childhood, according to Arne Güllich at RPTU Kaiserslautern in Germany. Güllich states, “If we understand that most world-class performers were not that remarkable or exceptional in their early years, this implies that early exceptional performance is not a prerequisite for long-term, world-class performance.”
Much research has linked the intensity of a child’s training program in specific activities to competitive performance in those activities as teenagers or young adults. However, studies in older world-class athletes have shown trends to the contrary. For example, 82 per cent of international-level junior athletes do not become international-level adult athletes, and 72 per cent of international-level seniors did not previously achieve the junior international level.
The backgrounds of famous international experts also suggest that the link between childhood and adult success is not as strong as perceived. While some, like Mozart and Woods, were child prodigies, others, like Beethoven and Jordan, were not.
The studies reviewed by Güllich and his colleagues included analyses of the life histories of Olympic athletes, Nobel laureates, world top-10 chess players, classical music composers, and international leaders in various fields. Across different specialisms, early high achievers and later world-class performers were largely different individuals. Only about 10 per cent of those who excelled as adults were top performers in their youth, and vice versa.
The team also compared their results with data on the training histories of young and sub-elite performers. Traits that distinguish high-achieving youths, like early specialization and rapid progress, are largely absent among adult world-class performers. This could be because children who gain a broader early experience in various activities develop more flexible learning skills and find the activities that suit them best.
Having a less intense training schedule during childhood and adolescence could potentially prevent burnout or injuries that can compromise long-term careers. Güllich suggests that encouraging young people to engage in multiple disciplines over several years may be more promising than focusing on one discipline from a young age.
The review addresses a research gap by separating early success from long-term elite performance. David Feldon at Utah State University believes that there is still a tendency to push children towards intense specialization in a particular skill, which may not be ultimately productive for their lifelong development.
For Feldon, the review has important implications for those working with children to help them develop skills. It is not just about fostering expertise but doing so in a healthy and productive way that leads to overall growth and development.
Programs designed to fast-track early stars may miss many future top performers while favoring short-term success over long-term excellence. Güllich recommends encouraging young people to explore multiple disciplines over time to enhance their learning capital for future success.

