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American Focus > Blog > Tech and Science > Iran was nowhere close to a nuclear bomb, experts say
Tech and Science

Iran was nowhere close to a nuclear bomb, experts say

Last updated: March 11, 2026 8:20 pm
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Iran was nowhere close to a nuclear bomb, experts say
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The ongoing war between the U.S. and Israel against Iran has sparked confusion over President Donald Trump’s claim that Iran could make a nuclear weapon in just two to four weeks. Nuclear experts have expressed skepticism about this assertion, pointing out that there is no evidence that Iran was close to developing a nuclear weapon.

According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), as of June 2025, Iran had 441 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium, which could potentially be enough for 10 nuclear weapons if further enriched to weapons-grade concentrations. The process of enrichment involves several stages, including converting yellowcake uranium oxide concentrate to uranium hexafluoride gas and then using centrifuges to separate the uranium isotopes.

Despite having stopped at the intermediate step of 60 percent enrichment, Iran’s main enrichment facilities were reportedly destroyed during a U.S. bombing in June. However, there are concerns that Iran may have rebuilt these facilities, potentially allowing them to resume uranium enrichment over time.

Retrieving Iran’s enriched uranium stores in a commando operation has been suggested as a possible solution. However, this would be a highly challenging task, requiring military control, specialized equipment, and expertise to ensure the safe handling of the radioactive material.

While some lawmakers and officials have discussed the possibility of a retrieval mission, experts caution that such an operation would be complex and risky. The best course of action, according to nuclear proliferation experts, would be to resume peaceful monitoring of Iran’s enrichment capabilities by the IAEA.

In conclusion, the situation regarding Iran’s nuclear capabilities remains uncertain, and any potential retrieval mission would require careful planning and coordination. As the conflict continues, the need for accurate information and strategic decision-making becomes increasingly crucial.

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