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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Little to throttle upward momentum
Economy

Little to throttle upward momentum

Last updated: March 14, 2026 3:00 am
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Little to throttle upward momentum
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The ongoing conflict in the Middle East continues to have a significant impact on mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury yield, which serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates, has surged above 4.25%, with no signs of slowing down. This upward trend has led to an increase in mortgage rates across the board.

According to Freddie Mac’s latest report, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped by 11 basis points to 6.11% for the week ending Wednesday. This sharp increase reflects the current volatility in the market and the uncertainty surrounding the geopolitical situation in the Middle East.

Here are the current mortgage rates based on the latest data from Zillow:

– 30-year fixed: 6.01%
– 20-year fixed: 6.11%
– 15-year fixed: 5.60%
– 5/1 ARM: 6.06%
– 7/1 ARM: 6.24%
– 30-year VA: 5.62%
– 15-year VA: 5.35%
– 5/1 VA: 5.55%

It’s important to note that these rates are national averages and have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. Mortgage refinance rates are often higher than rates for purchasing a home, but this is not always the case.

The current mortgage refinance rates, according to Zillow data, are as follows:

– 30-year fixed: 6.19%
– 20-year fixed: 6.19%
– 15-year fixed: 5.71%
– 5/1 ARM: 6.06%
– 7/1 ARM: 6.01%
– 30-year VA: 5.67%
– 15-year VA: 5.38%
– 5/1 VA: 4.96%

Again, these rates are national averages and have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. Mortgage refinance rates may vary depending on individual circumstances and lender policies.

Mortgage rates have risen from recent lows due to the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Economists had not anticipated such a significant decline in mortgage rates for the remainder of 2026, but all projections have been put on hold until the conflict is resolved.

See also  China's April retail sales growth of 5.1% misses expectations as consumption remains a worry

According to Freddie Mac, the national average for a 30-year mortgage increased by 11 basis points to 6.11% for the week, while the average 15-year mortgage rate rose by seven basis points to 5.50%.

Looking ahead, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) expects 30-year mortgage rates to hover around 6.10% throughout 2026. Fannie Mae also predicts a 30-year rate close to 6% until the end of the year.

For 2027, mortgage rates are forecasted to remain relatively stable. The MBA anticipates 30-year fixed rates ranging from 6.20% to 6.30% for most of the year, while Fannie Mae projects average rates near 6.0% for the entire year.

As the situation in the Middle East continues to evolve, it is crucial for potential homebuyers and homeowners to monitor mortgage rates closely and consult with financial advisors to make informed decisions about their mortgages.

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