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American Focus > Blog > Economy > Paul Krugman warns of a greater than 50% chance of recession
Economy

Paul Krugman warns of a greater than 50% chance of recession

Last updated: June 2, 2025 12:00 am
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Paul Krugman warns of a greater than 50% chance of recession
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Renowned economist Paul Krugman is not holding back when it comes to his criticism of President Donald Trump’s economic policies. In a recent interview with Bloomberg Talks, Krugman expressed grave concerns about the impact of Trump’s actions on the U.S. economy, labeling them as “crippling” and a direct threat to what once made America exceptional.

One of Krugman’s major points of contention is the sweeping layoffs at federal health agencies, particularly the CDC. He highlighted the alarming situation where medical scientists are being laid off at such a rapid pace that research samples are being left unattended. Krugman emphasized the importance of government research spillovers in driving U.S. technological progress and warned that the current administration’s actions are undermining America’s greatness.

Additionally, Krugman criticized Trump’s constantly shifting tariffs, which he believes have created a climate of deep uncertainty that is detrimental to the economy. He expressed concerns about the unpredictability of Trump’s trade policy changes and their potential to drive up inflation and drag down growth. Krugman even went as far as to suggest that the U.S. may be headed towards a recession this year due to the administration’s trade policies.

While Trump has touted tariffs as a means to make America rich and great again, Krugman argues that the implementation of these policies is having the opposite effect. He warned that the current trajectory could ultimately diminish U.S. exceptionalism.

In light of these economic uncertainties, investors may want to consider safeguarding their assets. One asset that has emerged as a safe haven in times of economic turmoil is gold. Not tied to any specific country, currency, or economy, gold tends to increase in value during periods of uncertainty. Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, highlighted the role of gold as an effective diversifier in a resilient portfolio.

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For those looking to incorporate precious metals into their investment strategy, companies like American Hartford Gold offer modern solutions for investing in gold and silver. With secure storage, expert guidance, and customizable investment plans, American Hartford Gold helps investors diversify their portfolios while protecting against inflation. Gold IRAs provide a tangible safeguard for retirement savings with significant tax advantages.

In addition to precious metals, real estate is another asset that can provide stability and passive income, even during a recession. High-quality, essential real estate properties can continue to generate rental income regardless of market fluctuations and serve as a hedge against inflation.

In conclusion, with the economic uncertainty brought about by Trump’s policies, it’s essential for investors to consider diversifying their portfolios and exploring alternative assets like gold and real estate to protect their wealth in the face of potential market volatility. Investing in real estate can be a lucrative venture, but it also comes with its fair share of challenges. From finding tenants to managing repairs and saving for a down payment, being a landlord requires both time and money. However, there are alternative ways to benefit from real estate investing without the hassle of traditional property ownership.

For accredited investors, Homeshares offers access to the $36 trillion U.S. home equity market. With a minimum investment of $25,000, investors can gain exposure to hundreds of owner-occupied homes in top U.S. cities through their U.S. Home Equity Fund. This hands-off approach allows investors to invest in owner-occupied residential properties across regional markets with risk-adjusted target returns ranging from 14% to 17%.

Another option for accredited investors is First National Realty Partners (FNRP), which allows investors to diversify their portfolio through grocery-anchored commercial properties. With a minimum investment of $50,000, investors can own a share of properties leased by national brands like Whole Foods, Kroger, and Walmart. These properties provide essential goods to their communities and offer Triple Net (NNN) leases, ensuring that tenant costs do not impact potential returns.

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In uncertain market conditions, seeking advice from a trusted financial advisor can make a significant difference. A good advisor will take the time to understand your unique goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance to help you build a diversified portfolio that aligns with your life goals. Vanguard offers a hybrid advisory system that combines advice from professional advisors and automated portfolio management to ensure that your investments are working towards your financial goals.

To get started with Vanguard, simply fill out a brief questionnaire about your financial goals, and their advisors will help you set a tailored plan and stick to it. Vanguard’s advisors are fiduciaries, meaning they do not earn commissions, so you can trust that the advice you receive is unbiased. Let Vanguard’s advisors manage your portfolio while you sit back and watch your investments grow.

Overall, real estate investing can be a profitable endeavor, but it’s essential to explore alternative investment options like Homeshares and FNRP for a more hands-off approach. Seeking advice from a trusted financial advisor like Vanguard can also help you navigate uncertain market conditions and ensure that your investments are aligned with your financial goals. It’s an exciting time to be a part of the rapidly evolving world of technology. With new advancements being made every day, it seems like there’s always something new and innovative to look forward to. From artificial intelligence to virtual reality, the possibilities seem endless.

One of the most groundbreaking developments in recent years is the rise of artificial intelligence (AI). AI has the potential to revolutionize industries across the board, from healthcare to transportation. With the ability to analyze vast amounts of data at incredible speeds, AI can help businesses make more informed decisions and improve efficiency.

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Another emerging technology that has captured the imagination of many is virtual reality (VR). With VR headsets becoming more accessible and affordable, the possibilities for immersive experiences are endless. From gaming to education to healthcare, VR has the potential to change the way we interact with the world around us.

But it’s not just AI and VR that are shaping the future of technology. Other advancements, such as blockchain and quantum computing, are also making waves in the tech world. Blockchain technology, best known for its role in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, has the potential to revolutionize industries such as finance, supply chain management, and healthcare. Quantum computing, on the other hand, has the potential to solve complex problems that are currently beyond the capabilities of traditional computers.

As these technologies continue to advance, it’s important for businesses and individuals to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape. Investing in these technologies now can give companies a competitive edge and open up new opportunities for growth and innovation.

Overall, it’s an exciting time to be a part of the world of technology. With new advancements being made every day, the possibilities are endless. From AI to VR to blockchain, the future looks bright for those who embrace these emerging technologies.

TAGGED:ChanceGreaterKrugmanPaulrecessionWarns
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