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Economy

Stocks Settle Mixed as Fed Rate Cut Chances Slip

Last updated: February 13, 2026 12:20 am
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S&P 500 Posts a Record High on Tech Strength and Solid Corporate Earnings
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The financial markets experienced a mixed session on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 closing at different ends of the spectrum. The S&P 500 Index closed unchanged, while the Nasdaq 100 Index closed up by 0.29%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by 0.13%. March E-mini S&P futures rose by 0.01%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures rose by 0.26%.

One of the key factors influencing the markets was the release of the US January payrolls report, which exceeded expectations. The report showed an increase in nonfarm payrolls, the most significant in 13 months, and a surprising decline in the unemployment rate. This data signaled a stable labor market and boosted investor sentiment. However, the stronger-than-expected report also pushed bond yields higher, leading to concerns about potential Fed interest rate cuts.

Despite the positive jobs report, software companies faced a decline on Wednesday, limiting gains in the broader market. Additionally, real estate service stocks took a hit amid fears that the latest advancements in artificial intelligence could disrupt the industry.

In terms of economic indicators, US MBA mortgage applications fell slightly in the week ended February 6. The purchase mortgage sub-index was down, while the refinancing mortgage sub-index saw an increase. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate remained unchanged from the previous week.

The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates also played a role in market sentiment. Comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid suggested a more hawkish approach, stating that further rate cuts could lead to prolonged high inflation. This sentiment added to the uncertainty surrounding future Fed policy decisions.

Looking ahead, the focus for the markets will be on corporate earnings results and upcoming economic data releases. Initial weekly unemployment claims and existing home sales data are expected on Thursday, while Friday will see the release of inflation data.

Overall, the markets are cautiously optimistic, with positive earnings reports driving momentum. However, concerns about interest rates and potential disruptions in certain sectors continue to loom large. Investors will closely monitor upcoming developments to gauge the direction of the markets in the coming weeks.

TAGGED:chancescutFedMixedratesettleslipstocks
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