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American Focus > Blog > Health and Wellness > Study links US foreign aid cuts to 14 million projected deaths by 2030
Health and Wellness

Study links US foreign aid cuts to 14 million projected deaths by 2030

Last updated: July 1, 2025 4:50 am
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Study links US foreign aid cuts to 14 million projected deaths by 2030
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The dismantling of US foreign aid by the Trump administration has raised concerns about the potential impact on vulnerable populations around the world. A recent study published in the Lancet journal has projected that more than 14 million of the world’s most vulnerable people, including a third of small children, could die by 2030 as a result of these funding cuts.

USAID, which had been a major provider of global humanitarian funding, saw its funding slashed by 83% earlier this year. This dramatic reduction in funding could reverse two decades of progress in health among vulnerable populations, according to the study’s co-authors. The researchers estimated that USAID funding had prevented nearly 92 million deaths in developing countries between 2001 and 2021.

The impact of the funding cuts could be devastating, leading to over 14 million avoidable deaths by 2030, including more than 4.5 million children under the age of five. The study found that USAID-supported programs had led to a 15% decrease in deaths from all causes, with a 32% drop in child mortality rates. Additionally, funding from USAID had significantly reduced deaths from diseases such as HIV/AIDS, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.

The repercussions of the aid cuts are already being felt on the ground, with reports of medication shortages and healthcare facilities struggling to cope with the increased demand. Disease modelers estimate that thousands of adults and children have already died as a result of the cuts, highlighting the urgent need for continued support.

While the US government and other major donors have scaled back their foreign aid budgets, experts are calling for a renewed commitment to global health and development. The Lancet study underscores the critical role that USAID and other aid agencies play in saving lives and preventing unnecessary suffering.

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As world leaders gather for a UN conference in Spain this week, the focus is on strengthening the aid sector and preventing further loss of life. The study’s authors emphasize the importance of scaling up aid efforts and ensuring that vulnerable populations have access to essential healthcare services.

The impact of USAID’s funding cuts is a stark reminder of the lifesaving role that foreign aid plays in global health. As the international community grapples with the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic and other health crises, maintaining robust support for aid agencies is more critical than ever.

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