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American Focus > Blog > Economy > The Surprising Dow Stock That Has Outperformed Nvidia by 2-to-1
Economy

The Surprising Dow Stock That Has Outperformed Nvidia by 2-to-1

Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:00 am
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The Surprising Dow Stock That Has Outperformed Nvidia by 2-to-1
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Caterpillar (CAT) had an exceptional year in 2025, achieving record full-year sales of $67.6 billion and full-year adjusted EPS of $19.06. This performance exceeded Q4 estimates of $4.70 and was supported by a record $51.2 billion order backlog and $11.7 billion in operating cash flow. The company’s stock rose by 104% over the past year, outpacing competitors in the manufacturing-construction and mining industry, including Nvidia (NVDA) and Deere (DE).

The success of Caterpillar can be attributed to the strong demand for power generation equipment and heavy machinery required for AI data center buildouts, mining operations, and infrastructure projects. The company’s pricing power and record backlog provide visibility into 2026, although tariff costs of $2.6 billion could potentially impact margins. Despite trading at a premium P/E ratio of 36.2x compared to its five-year average of 19x, Caterpillar’s performance in key sectors has driven its stock value.

A recent study highlighted a single habit that doubled Americans’ retirement savings, emphasizing the importance of financial planning and smart investment decisions. Caterpillar’s focus on high-margin services and growth in construction, resource, and energy segments has set it apart from competitors like Komatsu and Deere, with a return on equity of 47.16%. The company’s $51.2 billion order backlog positions it well for continued growth in 2026, supported by pricing discipline and services expansion.

While Caterpillar faces challenges such as incremental tariff costs and a premium valuation, its strong performance and strategic focus on real-world demand make it an attractive long-term investment option. The company’s ability to capitalize on infrastructure and energy shifts, coupled with its growing services revenue, bodes well for future growth. With a solid backlog and pricing power, Caterpillar remains well-positioned to deliver shareholder value in the evolving market landscape.

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