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American Focus > Blog > Tech and Science > What would Russia’s inability to launch crewed missions mean for ISS?
Tech and Science

What would Russia’s inability to launch crewed missions mean for ISS?

Last updated: December 1, 2025 5:25 pm
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What would Russia’s inability to launch crewed missions mean for ISS?
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The International Space Station (ISS) is facing a potential crisis as Russia’s only launch site capable of sending humans to orbit has suffered severe damage. This could result in the site being out of commission for up to two years, posing a significant challenge for NASA and the future of the ISS.

A recent Soyuz spacecraft launch from Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan revealed that a crucial support structure beneath the rockets had collapsed, causing damage to the launch pad. Reports suggest that repairs could take an extended period, potentially disrupting future crewed missions to the ISS.

The affected launch pad, known as Launch Pad 6 at Site 31, is the only one capable of launching crewed rockets to the ISS. Russia’s other launch sites are not suitable alternatives due to various limitations, highlighting the critical role of Baikonur Cosmodrome in human spaceflight.

The ISS, originally scheduled for decommissioning in 2020, has received extensions to its operational life. However, without Russia’s involvement in future missions, NASA may need to invest additional resources to sustain the ISS until its planned deorbiting in 2030. The loss of the ISS would not only be a blow to international cooperation but also a setback for ongoing research in space.

The geopolitical context of the ISS’s creation, aimed at fostering cooperation between former superpowers, has been challenged by strained relations between the US and Russia. The potential withdrawal of Russia from the ISS project would require other space agencies to assume additional responsibilities, such as transporting supplies and managing the Russian segment of the station.

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As discussions continue regarding the future of the ISS and Russia’s role in space exploration, alternative options like SpaceX’s Dragon capsule could provide a temporary solution for crewed missions to the ISS. While NASA faces challenges in operating the ISS independently, collaboration with commercial partners may alleviate some of the pressure.

In light of these developments, it is essential for space agencies to assess contingency plans and address the issues at Baikonur Cosmodrome promptly. The fate of the ISS and the future of human spaceflight depend on effective collaboration and strategic decision-making in the coming years.

TAGGED:crewedinabilityISSlaunchmissionsRussias
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