Democrats Solidify Lead Over Republicans on First 2026 Generic Ballot
The latest report from Big Data Poll, led by Baris, reveals that Democrats have strengthened their advantage among voters who are “Extremely Enthusiastic” to vote in the upcoming 2026 midterms. With a commanding lead of 53.6% to 41.8%, the Democrats are clearly in the driver’s seat.
Baris issued a warning to the GOP, emphasizing the need for a change in strategy sooner rather than later if they hope to mount a successful comeback. The current trajectory does not bode well for Republicans, and action must be taken to address the growing enthusiasm gap.
Political analyst Mitchell echoed these concerns in a recent op-ed for The New York Post, highlighting the slip in Trump’s approval ratings as his administration shifted away from policies that once rallied the base. The lack of a coherent governing approach, marred by internal conflicts and unresolved controversies, has left the Republican party in disarray.
According to Mitchell, the recent months have been marked by a lack of focus, with conflicting messages on key issues like affordability and job creation, infighting within the party, the Epstein scandal, increased foreign entanglements, and a reactive rather than intentional governing style. Voters are taking note of these shortcomings, and it is reflected in the widening enthusiasm gap favoring the Democrats.
As the 2026 midterms draw closer, the GOP faces an uphill battle to regain momentum and energize their base. The clock is ticking, and unless significant changes are made, the Democrats are poised to maintain their lead and potentially secure a significant victory in the upcoming elections.

