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Tech and Science

Elad Gil on which AI markets have winners — and which are still wide open

Last updated: November 3, 2025 3:15 pm
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Elad Gil, a prominent solo VC investor, recently shared his insights on the unpredictable nature of the AI market at the JS Disrupt event. He emphasized that AI has been one of the least predictable tech booms he has witnessed in the industry.

Gil, known for his investments in successful companies over the past decade, including leading AI firms, believes that certain AI markets have already been dominated by established market leaders. However, he also points out that a significant portion of the AI landscape remains open for exploration and innovation.

In 2021, Gil made a strategic decision to invest in generative AI, recognizing the potential of advancements in large language models. His investments included supporting foundational model creators like OpenAI and Mistral, as well as application-focused startups such as Perplexity, Harvey, Character.ai, Decagon, and Abridge. The rapid evolution of foundational models, particularly between GPT-2 and GPT-3, showcased the transformative power of AI technology.

Despite his deep involvement in the AI ecosystem, Gil acknowledges the persistent uncertainty and complexity within the AI market. While some sectors have clear frontrunners, such as foundational models and AI-assisted coding, other areas like financial tooling, accounting, AI security, and more, remain ripe for disruption by innovative players.

Gil highlights the challenges faced by new entrants in catching up with established market leaders, especially in fields like medical transcription and customer support. He mentions companies like Abridge and Decagon as examples of frontrunners in these segments.

Interestingly, Gil notes that rapid growth alone is not a definitive indicator of long-term success in the AI space. While many enterprises are actively pursuing AI strategies, the true test lies in the sustainability and scalability of revenue generated by AI solutions.

In conclusion, Gil emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between temporary trends and enduring market success in the AI industry. Companies like Harvey, a legal AI startup, exemplify sustained growth and market leadership through strategic investments and product innovation.

Overall, Gil’s insights shed light on the dynamic and evolving nature of the AI market, where established players coexist with emerging disruptors, shaping the future of AI technology.

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