Virginia Democrats look to decimate GOP seats in redistricting effort

Virginia Democrats Prepare for Redistricting Showdown Amid Internal Conflicts

This week marks a pivotal moment for Virginia Democrats as they gear up for what might be their final act in the ongoing redistricting saga. Looming large over this campaign is the essential question: can they align their internal strategies to benefit their party while persuading voters to embrace what some may see as a power play?

As the Virginia Legislature convenes on Wednesday for its first session following the Democrats’ sweeping victory in last November’s elections, a rift is already apparent. Some party members are advocating for a bold gerrymander that could shift 10 of the state’s 11 congressional seats into Democratic hands—effectively obliterating all but one Republican district. Others, however, are calling for a more tempered approach to counteract GOP gerrymanders elsewhere.

“It will be a real debate. We want to maximize our gains, but we also need the referendum to pass,” Representative Don Beyer (D-Va.) remarked to POLITICO. He raised concerns about a forthcoming Supreme Court ruling on the Voting Rights Act, which could potentially tilt the balance further in favor of Republicans.

“Democrats have seats in states like South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana that could vanish,” he noted. “It’s crucial we consider the fairness argument on a national scale, not just within Virginia.”

Currently, Virginia’s congressional delegation consists of six Democrats and five Republicans, and new maps could potentially yield three or four additional seats for the Democrats.

However, there’s apprehension among party members regarding the swift pace of this initiative. A Democrat, speaking on condition of anonymity, expressed concerns that some colleagues may not fully grasp the extensive effort required to mount a statewide campaign ahead of a special election in April.

The National Democratic Redistricting Commission (NDRC), spearheading these efforts, has presented two potential maps to lawmakers. One proposal reconfigures the map into a 9-2 configuration, safeguarding Republican incumbents Ben Cline and Morgan Griffith. The more aggressive option could lead to a 10-1 map, a scenario first reported by Punchbowl News.

John Bisognano, NDRC president, insists that significant changes are essential to counter the stark gerrymanders employed by Republicans in other states under Donald Trump’s influence.

“Donald Trump has not backed down in this redistricting war he instigated,” Bisognano stated, emphasizing that Democrats have managed to hold their own against Trump’s aggressive tactics.

Emboldened by successful statewide elections, Virginia’s Democratic leaders are eager to minimize GOP representation further. “Back in August 2025, I declared that the maps will be 10-1, and I stand by that,” proclaimed Virginia Senate President Pro Tem L. Louise Lucas in a recent social media post. “Anyone in the congressional delegation seeking a seat must campaign for it; there are no guarantees.”

Democratic House Speaker Don Scott also expressed willingness for a 10-1 map favoring his party, though neither he nor Lucas responded to inquiries for further comment.

On the other side of the aisle, State Senator Ryan McDougle, the leading Republican in Virginia’s Senate, condemned the Democrats’ redistricting ambitions. He highlighted the hypocrisy in undermining the bipartisan commission established just five years prior, which was intended to prevent gerrymandering.

“If this passes, it’s hard to believe we won’t see a return to gerrymandering in the future,” McDougle warned, reflecting on the cycle of political maneuvering that seems ever-present in American politics.

Michael Young, a Republican consultant in Virginia, echoed this sentiment, labeling the Democrats’ redistricting efforts as “unconstitutional.” Previous legal challenges to the current redistricting battles in Virginia have not yielded successful outcomes for conservatives.

Virginia’s redistricting efforts unfold in a broader context, paralleling recent actions taken by Republican leaders in Florida, where Governor Ron DeSantis has called for a special legislative session aimed at mid-cycle redistricting that could add several seats to their ranks. DeSantis, waiting for guidance from the Supreme Court on a critical voting rights case, hopes to strategically alter district boundaries before the ruling occurs, capitalizing on any potential advantages it may create.

“We recognize the work ahead of us and are prepared to meet the challenge,” asserted State Senator Lamont Bagby, who also chairs the Virginia Democratic Party. He stressed the need for unified action among Democratic states to counteract Republican-led initiatives that threaten their representation.

“They’re already forcing us to put this to the voters, and I don’t see any change in that dynamic,” Bagby added, underscoring the urgency of their mission.

As Virginia gears up for this critical redistricting battle, the role of incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger remains uncertain. Having triumphed over her GOP opponent Winsome Earle-Sears by a significant margin, Spanberger’s influence on the redistricting strategy is yet to be defined. Just days before her inauguration, Democrats took the first steps toward amending the state constitution to facilitate redistricting ahead of the 2030 Census.

Upon the convening of the Legislature on Wednesday, lawmakers are expected to advance an amendment enabling Spanberger to call a spring special election. This election will allow voters to decide whether to grant state lawmakers the authority to amend the state constitution and approve new congressional maps.

“Given the actions of Texas, Missouri, and Florida, we believe we have a right to act if Virginia voters permit us,” emphasized Virginia Senate Majority Leader Scott Surovell, a Democrat.

Surovell anticipates a smooth passage for the new maps, though he acknowledges the need for adjustments to the election calendar to accommodate new candidate filing deadlines for federal House races once the maps are approved. As it stands, the current deadline for House candidates is April 2, according to the Virginia Department of Elections.